Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 28)
Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 28 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
Chapecoense48%12/25+13.7%Strongly above implied probability
Atlético Mineiro60%15/25+42.2%Strongly above implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.5% implied
Chapecoense64%16/25+17.4%Strongly above implied probabilityAtlético Mineiro64%16/25+17.4%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Chapecoense48%12/25-10.8%Below implied probabilityAtlético Mineiro48%12/25-10.8%Below implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
59.9% implied
Chapecoense64%16/25+6.8%Above implied probabilityAtlético Mineiro72%18/25+20.2%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Chapecoense52%13/25+37.9%Strongly above implied probabilityAtlético Mineiro44%11/25+16.7%Strongly above implied probabilityChapecoense3/25Atlético Mineiro5/25Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Atlético Mineiro and Chapecoense across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Atlético Mineiro hit at 60% accuracy — that's 42.2% above the bookmaker baseline of 42.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Chapecoense sit 10.8% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Atlético Mineiro–
Chapecoense–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Atlético Mineiro–Chapecoense–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 53% | 47% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 65% | 35% | 85% | 15% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 46% | 54% |
| 55% | 45% | 86% | 14% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 97% | 3% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
39%
X-1
21%
X-X
15%
2-2
6%
1-X
5%
X-2
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
2-1
10.2%
1-1
9.9%
0-0
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense — Prediction Form & Streaks
Atlético Mineiro have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Chapecoense have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Atlético Mineiro well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 4 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
ChapecoenseAtlético MineiroChapecoenseAtlético MineiroChapecoenseAtlético MineiroChapecoenseAtlético MineiroChapecoenseAtlético MineiroChapecoenseAtlético MineiroAtlético Mineiro & Chapecoense Teams in Best Form
Atlético MineiroChapecoense