Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2025/2026 (Round 37)
Genoa vs Milan — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 37 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
+19.5% Strongly above implied probability
+13% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-31.5% Below implied probability
-5.2% Near implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-25.7% Below implied probability
+0.9% Above implied probability
┊ 53.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+35.5% Strongly above implied probability
+35.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.2% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+43.3% Strongly above implied probability
+13.2% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 37.9% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Genoa and Milan across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Genoa hit at 54% accuracy — that's 43.3% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Genoa sit 31.5% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Genoa vs Milan — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Genoa vs Milan. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 20% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 54% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 19% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 5% | 9% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 29% | 5% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 18% | 2% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 59% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% | |
| 21% | 79% | 53% | 47% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% | |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-3 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 20% | |
| X | 26% | |
| 2 | 54% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 87% | 13% |
| 1 | 19% | |
| X | 45% | |
| 2 | 35% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11% | 5% | 9% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 29% | 5% | 18% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 3% | 18% | 2% |
| 1 | 32% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 59% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% | |
| 21% | 79% | 53% | 47% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% | |
| 79% | 21% | 92% | 8% |
| 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Genoa vs Milan — Prediction Form & Streaks
Genoa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Milan have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Genoa well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.