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Lecce vs Genoa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Serie A - Season 2025/2026 (Round 38)

Get our AI football prediction and stats for Lecce vs Genoa. Our model tracks per-team football prediction accuracy across 1X2, BTTS, Over/Under and Correct Score markets — see how it performs for both teams below.

Lecce vs Genoa — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 38 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

GenoaGenoa
50%(18/36)

+16.3% Strongly above implied probability

LecceLecce
58.3%(21/36)

+35.6% Strongly above implied probability

43% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

GenoaGenoa
38.9%(14/36)

-28.2% Below implied probability

LecceLecce
63.9%(23/36)

+17.9% Strongly above implied probability

54.2% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

GenoaGenoa
41.7%(15/36)

-22.5% Below implied probability

LecceLecce
55.6%(20/36)

+3.3% Above implied probability

53.8% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

GenoaGenoa
83.3%(30/36)

+36.3% Strongly above implied probability

LecceLecce
88.9%(32/36)

+45.5% Strongly above implied probability

61.1% Implied Probability

First Half Result

GenoaGenoa
55.6%(20/36)

+46.7% Strongly above implied probability

LecceLecce
47.2%(17/36)

+24.5% Strongly above implied probability

37.9% Implied Probability

Correct Score

GenoaGenoa
8.3%(3/36)
LecceLecce
19.4%(7/36)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Lecce and Genoa across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Genoa hit at 56% accuracy — that's 46.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Genoa sit 28.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Lecce vs Genoa — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities

Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lecce vs Genoa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.

Full Time
131%
X28%
240%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
70%30%90%10%
1st Half
126%
X48%
226%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
18%5%13%
2-22-XX-2
21%4%15%
1-2X-X2-1
2%20%2%
1st Score
145%
X11%
245%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036215/mygameodds/teams/bevgn1dqhrzkzlwtnk6w.png logo37%63%72%28%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036172/mygameodds/teams/dwxhzfa2zzngbsz26y8a.png logo31%69%65%35%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036215/mygameodds/teams/bevgn1dqhrzkzlwtnk6w.png logo91%9%98%2%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1693036172/mygameodds/teams/dwxhzfa2zzngbsz26y8a.png logo87%13%96%4%
Correct Score
1-10-10-01-01-20-22-1
12.8%12.1%10.5%10.5%8.4%7.8%6.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Lecce vs Genoa — Prediction Form & Streaks

Genoa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Lecce have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Genoa well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
GenoaGenoa
0 in a row
LecceLecce
1 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
GenoaGenoa
1 in a row
LecceLecce
1 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
GenoaGenoa
1 in a row
LecceLecce
1 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
GenoaGenoa
5 in a row
LecceLecce
5 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
GenoaGenoa
1 in a row
LecceLecce
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
GenoaGenoa
0 in a row
LecceLecce
1 in a row

Lecce & Genoa Teams in Best Form

GenoaGenoa
D
D
L
W
W
LecceLecce
L
W
D
D
L

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