Lecce vs Genoa Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Serie A - Season 2025/2026 (Round 38)
Lecce vs Genoa — Serie A Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 38 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
+16.3% Strongly above implied probability
+35.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 43% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-28.2% Below implied probability
+17.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-22.5% Below implied probability
+3.3% Above implied probability
┊ 53.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+36.3% Strongly above implied probability
+45.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.1% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
+46.7% Strongly above implied probability
+24.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 37.9% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Lecce and Genoa across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Genoa hit at 56% accuracy — that's 46.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Genoa sit 28.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Lecce vs Genoa — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Lecce vs Genoa. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 31% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 48% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 5% | 13% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 21% | 4% | 15% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 20% | 2% |
| 1 | 45% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 45% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% | |
| 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% | |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 31% | |
| X | 28% | |
| 2 | 40% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 33% | 67% | 59% | 41% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 70% | 30% | 90% | 10% |
| 1 | 26% | |
| X | 48% | |
| 2 | 26% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18% | 5% | 13% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 21% | 4% | 15% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 20% | 2% |
| 1 | 45% | |
| X | 11% | |
| 2 | 45% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37% | 63% | 72% | 28% | |
| 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 91% | 9% | 98% | 2% | |
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Lecce vs Genoa — Prediction Form & Streaks
Genoa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 14th in the table. Lecce have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 17th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Genoa well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 5 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.