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Spezia vs Empoli

Spezia vs Empoli 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Serie B - Season 2025/2026 (Round 31)

The match between Spezia and Empoli ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Spezia win at 48% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Spezia vs Empoli — Serie B Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Round 31 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result →

Spezia

37.5%(12/32)

-14.6% Below implied probability

Empoli

38.7%(12/31)

-11.8% Below implied probability

┊ 43.9% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Spezia

59.4%(19/32)

+10.2% Strongly above implied probability

Empoli

41.9%(13/31)

-22.3% Below implied probability

┊ 53.9% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Spezia

53.1%(17/32)

-0.9% Near implied probability

Empoli

51.6%(16/31)

-3.7% Near implied probability

┊ 53.6% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Spezia

78.1%(25/32)

+25% Strongly above implied probability

Empoli

67.7%(21/31)

+8.3% Above implied probability

┊ 62.5% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Spezia

53.1%(17/32)

+36.9% Strongly above implied probability

Empoli

51.6%(16/31)

+33% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 38.8% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Spezia

15.6%(5/32)

Empoli

16.1%(5/31)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Spezia and Empoli across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Spezia hit at 53% accuracy — that's 36.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.8%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Empoli sit 22.3% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Spezia vs Empoli 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Spezia vs Empoli. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	33%
X	43%
2	24%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
25%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
15%	5%	11%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	52%
X	7%
2	41%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
22%	78%	54%	46%
38%	62%	71%	29%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
90%	10%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2	2-2	3-1	3-0	0-2
12.0%	10.5%	9.6%	8.1%	7.2%	6.9%	6.7%	5.5%	4.9%	4.4%	4.0%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	33%
X	43%
2	24%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
25%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
15%	5%	11%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	52%
X	7%
2	41%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
22%	78%	54%	46%
38%	62%	71%	29%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
90%	10%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.0%	10.5%	9.6%	8.1%	7.2%	6.9%	6.7%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	33%
X	43%
2	24%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
25%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
15%	5%	11%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	52%
X	7%
2	41%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
22%	78%	54%	46%
38%	62%	71%	29%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
90%	10%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2	2-2	3-1	3-0	0-2
12.0%	10.5%	9.6%	8.1%	7.2%	6.9%	6.7%	5.5%	4.9%	4.4%	4.0%

Full Time


1	48%
X	26%
2	26%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	25%	75%	49%	51%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	33%
X	43%
2	24%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
25%	5%	16%
2-2	2-X	X-2
15%	5%	11%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	17%	3%

1st Score


1	52%
X	7%
2	41%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
22%	78%	54%	46%
38%	62%	71%	29%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
79%	21%	92%	8%
90%	10%	97%	3%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
12.0%	10.5%	9.6%	8.1%	7.2%	6.9%	6.7%

Empoli