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Serie B Predictions & Stats

Name: Serie B Results vs the Closing Odds
Creator: MyGameOdds

Free AI predictions for every upcoming Serie B match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.

Predictions updated on 11 October 2026.

Serie B Predictions by Market

Season 2026/2027 · Round 6 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

47%

Both Teams To Score

48%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

75%

First Half Result

50%

Correct Score

13%

Serie B 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 47%, BTTS 48%, Over/Under 2.5 55%, Over/Under 3.5 75%, correct score 13%.

Serie B stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues

How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.

How to read it

last 12 months · 377 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitions

Goals a match

2.56

42nd of 63

xG a match

2.78

36th of 62

Corners a match

Pro · free for now

9.71

31st of 62

Cards a match

Pro · free for now

4.55

21st of 63

Compare all 63 competitions →

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.

Serie B: the stats that stand out

The Serie B teams most unusual in their last 10 games.

How to read it

the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games

Low-scoring

1/10

Südtirol games went over 2.5 goals in only 1 of their last 10 (league 48%).

Shot-shy

6/10

Carrarese failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 27%).

Fast starters

8/10

Avellino scored first in 8 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Banker as favourites

7/8

Palermo won 7 of 8 as favourites (league 51%).

Hard to break

2/10

Calcio Padova conceded first in only 2 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 47%).

Leaky

0/6

Vicenza kept no clean sheet in their last 6 (league 27%).

Rarely both score

3/10

Catanzaro: both teams scored in only 3 of their last 10 (league 53%).

Calculated by MyGameOdds

How it works

For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).

How we measure →

Today's Betting Tips for Serie B Italy

Free predictions for today's Serie B matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.

· FT

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Catanzaro1

Mantova3

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Catanzaro1

Mantova3

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Extra Stats

Full Time

144%

X27%

230%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	56%	44%
	34%	66%	68%	32%

Goals Over/Under

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
FT	48%	52%	61%	39%

Correct Score

1-1

12.4%

1-0

9.7%

2-1

9.7%

1-2

7.5%

0-1

7.5%

2-0

7.1%

0-0

7.0%

2-2

6.0%

· FT

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Calcio Padova0

Carrarese2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Calcio Padova0

Carrarese2

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 61%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 71%

Extra Stats

· FT

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Modena3

Hellas Verona2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

· FT

Serie B - Italy

Modena3

Hellas Verona2

Winner

1X 74%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Hellas Verona–

Catanzaro–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Serie B - Italy

Hellas Verona–

Catanzaro–

Winner

1 51%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Calcio Padova–

Virtus Entella–

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Serie B - Italy

Calcio Padova–

Virtus Entella–

Winner

12 70%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Carrarese–

Modena–

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Serie B - Italy

Carrarese–

Modena–

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 67%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Benevento–

Vicenza–

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Serie B - Italy

Benevento–

Vicenza–

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 63%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Ascoli–

Empoli–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Serie B - Italy

Ascoli–

Empoli–

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Mantova–

Palermo–

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Serie B - Italy

Mantova–

Palermo–

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Pisa–

Cremonese–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Serie B - Italy

Pisa–

Cremonese–

Winner

12 72%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Juve Stabia–

Südtirol–

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Serie B - Italy

Juve Stabia–

Südtirol–

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 68%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Cesena–

Avellino–

Winner

1X 78%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Serie B - Italy

Cesena–

Avellino–

Winner

1X 78%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Sampdoria–

Arezzo–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Serie B - Italy

Sampdoria–

Arezzo–

Winner

1X 71%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 60%

Extra Stats

Serie B - Italy

Empoli–

Vicenza–

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Serie B - Italy

Empoli–

Vicenza–

Winner

1X 68%

BTTS*

Yes 51%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 64%

Extra Stats

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Serie B xG: chances created and allowed

Every Serie B team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsSerie B average · 1.39 xG, 1.39 xGAlast 10 games each

Tap a logo to see the team's numbers

↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)

More chances created (xG a game) →

Teams by box· 20

Good attack, good defence

Good attack, weak defence

Weak attack, good defence

Weak attack, weak defence

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.

How we measure →

Serie B Results vs the Odds

Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days

How often each result has happened in Serie B this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.

How to read it

what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days

Result · happened

◀ fewer −25◀ fewer than expected · −25 pts odds expected+25 more ▶+25 pts · more than expected ▶

Verdict

Home wins

57 matches

40.4%

of matches · odds said 43.0%

30 days: 40.7% vs 41.4% (27)

Season (57) · 40.4% vs 43.0%Normal range

Season

−2.7

±12.6Normal range

30 days (27) · 40.7% vs 41.4%Normal range

30 days

−0.7

±18.1Normal range

Draws

57 matches

28.1%

of matches · odds said 28.2%

30 days: 37.0% vs 28.5% (27)

Season (57) · 28.1% vs 28.2%Normal range

Season

−0.1

±11.7Normal range

30 days (27) · 37.0% vs 28.5%Normal range

30 days

+8.6

±17.0Normal range

Away wins

57 matches

31.6%

of matches · odds said 28.8%

30 days: 22.2% vs 30.1% (27)

Season (57) · 31.6% vs 28.8%Normal range

Season

+2.8

±11.5Normal range

30 days (27) · 22.2% vs 30.1%Normal range

30 days

−7.9

±16.9Normal range

Over 2.5 goals

57 matches

52.6%

of matches · odds said 46.8%

30 days: 48.1% vs 48.0% (27)

Season (57) · 52.6% vs 46.8%Normal range

Season

+5.9

±12.9Normal range

30 days (27) · 48.1% vs 48.0%Normal range

30 days

+0.1

±18.8Normal range

Both teams scored

57 matches

61.4%

of matches · odds said 51.2%

30 days: 63.0% vs 52.3% (27)

Season (57) · 61.4% vs 51.2%Normal range

Season

+10.2

±13.0Normal range

30 days (27) · 63.0% vs 52.3%Normal range

30 days

+10.6

±18.8Normal range

Show more markets (6)

Over 3.5 goals

57 matches

26.3%

of matches · odds said 25.6%

30 days: 29.6% vs 26.8% (27)

Season (57) · 26.3% vs 25.6%Normal range

Season

+0.7

±11.3Normal range

30 days (27) · 29.6% vs 26.8%Normal range

30 days

+2.8

±16.7Normal range

Home side ahead at half-time

57 matches

28.1%

of matches · odds said 32.6%

30 days: 14.8% vs 31.9% (27)

Season (57) · 28.1% vs 32.6%Normal range

Season

−4.5

±12.1Normal range

30 days (27) · 14.8% vs 31.9%Normal range

30 days

−17.1

±17.4Normal range

Level at half-time

57 matches

47.4%

of matches · odds said 43.6%

30 days: 59.3% vs 43.2% (27)

Season (57) · 47.4% vs 43.6%Normal range

Season

+3.7

±12.9Normal range

30 days (27) · 59.3% vs 43.2%Normal range

30 days

+16.1

±18.7Normal range

Away side ahead at half-time

57 matches

24.6%

of matches · odds said 23.8%

30 days: 25.9% vs 24.9% (27)

Season (57) · 24.6% vs 23.8%Normal range

Season

+0.8

±10.9Normal range

30 days (27) · 25.9% vs 24.9%Normal range

30 days

+1.0

±16.2Normal range

Home team scored 2+

57 matches

38.6%

of matches · odds said 41.2%

30 days: 44.4% vs 40.9% (27)

Season (57) · 38.6% vs 41.2%Normal range

Season

−2.6

±12.6Normal range

30 days (27) · 44.4% vs 40.9%Normal range

30 days

+3.6

±18.3Normal range

Away team scored 2+

57 matches

29.8%

of matches · odds said 30.0%

30 days: 22.2% vs 32.3% (27)

Season (57) · 29.8% vs 30.0%Normal range

Season

−0.1

±11.7Normal range

30 days (27) · 22.2% vs 32.3%Normal range

30 days

−10.1

±17.4Normal range

Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.

Show as a table

Serie B, season 2026/2027: results vs the closing odds
Result	Period	Matches	Happened	Odds expected	Gap (pts)	Normal range (± pts)	Verdict
Home wins	Season	57	40.4%	43.0%	−2.7	±12.6	Normal range
Home wins	30 days	27	40.7%	41.4%	−0.7	±18.1	Normal range
Draws	Season	57	28.1%	28.2%	−0.1	±11.7	Normal range
Draws	30 days	27	37.0%	28.5%	+8.6	±17.0	Normal range
Away wins	Season	57	31.6%	28.8%	+2.8	±11.5	Normal range
Away wins	30 days	27	22.2%	30.1%	−7.9	±16.9	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	Season	57	52.6%	46.8%	+5.9	±12.9	Normal range
Over 2.5 goals	30 days	27	48.1%	48.0%	+0.1	±18.8	Normal range
Both teams scored	Season	57	61.4%	51.2%	+10.2	±13.0	Normal range
Both teams scored	30 days	27	63.0%	52.3%	+10.6	±18.8	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	Season	57	26.3%	25.6%	+0.7	±11.3	Normal range
Over 3.5 goals	30 days	27	29.6%	26.8%	+2.8	±16.7	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	Season	57	28.1%	32.6%	−4.5	±12.1	Normal range
Home side ahead at half-time	30 days	27	14.8%	31.9%	−17.1	±17.4	Normal range
Level at half-time	Season	57	47.4%	43.6%	+3.7	±12.9	Normal range
Level at half-time	30 days	27	59.3%	43.2%	+16.1	±18.7	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	Season	57	24.6%	23.8%	+0.8	±10.9	Normal range
Away side ahead at half-time	30 days	27	25.9%	24.9%	+1.0	±16.2	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	Season	57	38.6%	41.2%	−2.6	±12.6	Normal range
Home team scored 2+	30 days	27	44.4%	40.9%	+3.6	±18.3	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	Season	57	29.8%	30.0%	−0.1	±11.7	Normal range
Away team scored 2+	30 days	27	22.2%	32.3%	−10.1	±17.4	Normal range

Serie B luck check: the last 10 games

Serie B teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.

How to read it

what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+9.7 = 10 points more than their chances usually bring

Riding their luck3

Calcio Padova
+9.7
Palermo
+6.8
MantovaClinical · +5 goals
+6.2

Unlucky2

CarrareseWasteful · −6 goals
−8.1
SampdoriaWasteful · −6 goals
−7.0

Points in line, but wasteful: Modena (−4 goals).

In line with their chances: Avellino, Ascoli, Südtirol, Empoli, Benevento, Juve Stabia, Arezzo, Pisa, Cremonese, Vicenza, Catanzaro, Cesena, Virtus Entella and Hellas Verona.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.

We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.

Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.

How we measure →

Serie B last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets

Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.

How to read it

Oct 4–Oct 11 · 10 matches · odds: closing, margin removed

No smash-and-grab wins or upsets in these 10 matches.

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.

How we measure →

Serie B Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM	MP	PTS	W	D	L	G	GD	FORM
1 Palermo	6	16	5	1	0	14:7	+7	W W D W W
2 Mantova	6	14	4	2	0	13:6	+7	W D W D W
3 Modena	6	13	4	1	1	11:6	+5	W W D L W
4 Südtirol	6	12	3	3	0	9:3	+6	D W D W D
5 Ascoli	6	11	3	2	1	7:4	+3	D W L W D

Promotion

Promotion Play-off

Relegation Play-off

Relegation

MP=Matches Played

PTS=Points

W=Wins

D=Draws

L=Losses

G=Goals (For:Against)

GD=Goal Difference

FORM=Last 5 Matches

View Full Standings

About Serie B

The league profile compares Serie B with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.

These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability, tactical trends, and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.

Serie B is the second-highest division in the Italian football league system. It is known for its competitive nature and talented players. Serie B serves as a pathway for clubs to earn promotion to Serie A, the top tier of Italian football. The league has a rich history and is closely followed by football fans across Italy.