Hard to break
1/10Beijing Guoan conceded first in only 1 of their last 10 (league 48%).
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Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 30)
Riding their luck
Beijing Guoan are taking more points than their chances usually bring
+8points more than their chances usually bring in their last 10
85% of teams this far ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC are the other way round, behind their chances: about −4 points.
Bookmakers: Beijing Guoan 69% to winChongqing Tonglianglong FC 13%
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC score prediction
Super League
The goals we expect each side to score, not an exact score: built from both teams' chances, the bookmakers' view and real goals here.
Beijing Guoan expected to score more than twice as many as Chongqing Tonglianglong FC
2.9 goals in total, a little under the Super League average of 3.1.
goals expected
Beijing Guoan2.0
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC0.9Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We look at how many chances each team has created and allowed in its recent games in this league, what the bookmakers expected from those games, and the goals actually scored. Then we compare that with how many goals home and away teams usually score here.
Does it work? Since July 2025, our numbers have been 7% closer to the real goals than just using the league average.
How we measure →Get our AI football prediction and stats for Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: our model’s probabilities next to the bookmakers’ odds in each market, how often similar predictions came true, and both teams’ recent form.
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
For each market: our model’s probability for this match, the bookmakers’ probability from the current odds (margin removed), whether the two agree, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months. When they disagree, the bookmakers’ number has usually been the better guide.
How to read it
our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Beijing Guoan to win
Our model 70%Bookmakers 69%
Our track record
In 615 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.4% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).
Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
Our model 50%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 6,485 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%
Our track record
In 5,307 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
Our model 61%Bookmakers 56%
Our track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time
Our model 58%Bookmakers 52%
Our track record
In 304 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.2% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Beijing Guoan Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Beijing Guoan 2+ goals
Our model 64%Bookmakers 70%
Our track record
In 3,459 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers
Our model’s pick
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 0–1 goals
Our model 85%Bookmakers 75%
Our track record
In 1,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds can still move before kick-off. The track record uses closing odds.
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC — AI Prediction & Probabilities by Market
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Beijing Guoan–
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC–Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Beijing Guoan–Chongqing Tonglianglong FC–Winner
1 70%
BTTS*
Yes 50%
Correct Score
2-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 51%
Full Time
170%
X18%
212%
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 21% | 79% | 42% | 58% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 73% | 27% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12% | 88% | 36% | 64% |
| 56% | 44% | 85% | 15% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60% | 40% | 78% | 22% |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
158%
X32%
210%
1st Score
172%
X5%
222%
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
52%
X-1
19%
X-X
9%
1-X
4%
X-2
4%
2-1
4%
2-2
4%
2-X
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
2-0
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-2
3.0%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: the stats that stand out
Super League
Where each side is most unusual compared with the rest of the league: clean sheets, scoring first, wins as favourites and more.
How to read it
the teamleague averageshare of games, 0 to 100%Beijing Guoan: hard to break and brick wall · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: shot-shy
1/10Brick wall
5/10Beijing Guoan kept 5 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 21%).
Shot-shy
4/10Chongqing Tonglianglong FC failed to score in 4 of their last 10 (league 21%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We compare each team's last 10 games in this competition with how often the same thing happens across the whole league (last 12 months). A fact only shows when the team is noticeably different from a typical team. For example, if teams here score first in half their games, a team needs 7 or more out of 10 (or 3 or fewer). We show up to three facts, the most unusual first, never two about the same thing. They describe what happened, not a forecast.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: attack vs defence
Super League
Both sides' chances created and allowed a game, next to the rest of the league, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
other Super League teamsleague averagelast 10 games↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
- Beijing Guoan: good attack, good defence (1.68 xG, 1.56 xGA a game)
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: weak attack, good defence (1.18 xG, 1.44 xGA)
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC form and luck check
Super League
Whether each side is taking more or fewer points than its chances usually bring.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringoutside the normal range (±4)last 10 Super League gamesBeijing Guoan riding their luck, Chongqing Tonglianglong FC unlucky
- Beijing GuoanBookmakers: 69% to win today.Clinical · +6 goals+8.1
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FCBookmakers: 13% to win today.Wasteful · −4 goals−4.2
Last 5 matches
Beijing GuoanW
W
W
D
D
Chongqing Tonglianglong FCW
D
D
L
D
W
D
L
Strength rank: Beijing Guoan 1st of 16 · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC 11th of 16
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
Strength rank: we rank this season's 16 teams by how much better their attack is than their defence, using chances (xG), the odds and goals. Does it work? Over the first half of a season, this rank predicted the second half better than the league table did.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Over 2.5 & BTTS?
Super League
How often each side's recent league games had over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
How to read it
a game where it happenedleague averagelast 10 Super League gamesBTTS = both teams scoredChongqing Tonglianglong FC games go over 2.5 goals less often than the Super League average (58%), Beijing Guoan games more often.
Over 2.5 goalsleague 58%
Beijing Guoan7 of 10
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC2 of 10
BTTSleague 63%
Beijing Guoan5 of 10
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC5 of 10
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each team we take its last 10 games in this competition from the past 12 months (fewer if it hasn't played 10) and count how many went over 2.5 goals and how many had both teams scoring. The league figure uses all 248 games played here in the last 12 months.
How we measure →Beijing Guoan vs Chongqing Tonglianglong FC corners, cards and goal times
Super League
Each side's corners and cards a game, and when it scores and concedes, from its recent league games.
How to read it
league averagelast 10 in the league · corners and cards per game- Corners won: league 5.0
- Cards: league 2.0
- Goals before half-time: league 42%
- Goals after 75': league 26%
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
We use each team's last 10 games here. Corners and cards only count games where those stats were recorded, and goal times only count games with reliable goal minutes, so some teams have fewer than 10. We compare with the whole league over the last 12 months.
How we measure →Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
Beijing Guoan3/5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC2/5
Both Teams to Score
Beijing Guoan2/5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC4/5
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Beijing Guoan2/5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC1/5
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
Beijing Guoan4/5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC4/5
First Half Result
Beijing Guoan1/5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC3/5
Correct Score
Beijing Guoan2/5
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC2/5
correct predictionwrong prediction