- Home
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren FC
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren FC 1-0 Score & Prediction Review
Super League - Season 2026 (Round 18)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1–0
Liaoning Tieren FCOn these chances Tianjin Jinmen Tiger would usually take 1.6 points and Liaoning Tieren FC 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren FC stats: how the match was played
Super League
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had clearly more shots on target
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Liaoning Tieren FC
3
Shots on target
2
5
Big chances
1
3
Corners
3
0
Yellow cards
0
31%
Possession
69%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren FC — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Super League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 6,723 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.7% of the time (bookmakers said 44.2%).
Our model’s pick
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Liaoning Tieren FC 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren FC 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Liaoning Tieren FC. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Liaoning Tieren FC0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1Liaoning Tieren FC0Winner
1X 72%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 62% | 38% | 84% | 16% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 77% | 55% | 45% |
| 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 89% | 11% | 97% | 3% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
24%
2-2
17%
X-X
16%
X-1
14%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score