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Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Rongcheng 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 19)

Fair result

Qingdao Youth Island

1–1

Chengdu Rongcheng

0.8Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Qingdao Youth Island would usually take 1.1 points and Chengdu Rongcheng 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Chengdu Rongcheng.

Qingdao Youth Island −0.1 pts vs chancesChengdu Rongcheng −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Rongcheng stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Qingdao Youth Island had clearly more shots on target

Qingdao Youth Island

Chengdu Rongcheng

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

33%

Possession

67%

The match between Qingdao Youth Island and Chengdu Rongcheng ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted an Chengdu Rongcheng win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Beijing Guoan – Qingdao Youth Island prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Rongcheng — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chengdu Rongcheng to win

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 52%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 55%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 75%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 4,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.3% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Chengdu Rongcheng ahead at half-time.

Our model 41%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.

Qingdao Youth Island Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Qingdao Youth Island 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 77%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 842 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.5%).

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chengdu Rongcheng 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Chengdu Rongcheng 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 45.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.7% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Rongcheng 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Qingdao Youth Island vs Chengdu Rongcheng. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Super League - China

Qingdao Youth Island1

Chengdu Rongcheng1

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

· FT

Super League - China

Qingdao Youth Island1

Chengdu Rongcheng1

Winner

X2 75%

BTTS*

No 52%

Correct Score

0-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 65%

Full Time

125%

X27%

249%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	30%	70%	55%	45%	65%	35%	86%	14%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	30%	70%	55%	45%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	65%	35%	86%	14%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	43%	57%	77%	23%	93%	7%	98%	2%
	25%	75%	57%	43%	80%	20%	92%	8%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	43%	57%	77%	23%
	25%	75%	57%	43%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	93%	7%	98%	2%
	80%	20%	92%	8%

1st Half

119%

X41%

240%

1st Score

131%

X9%

260%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

33%

X-2

19%

X-X

14%

1-1

10%

X-1

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

0-1

12.1%

1-1

11.9%

0-0

9.4%

1-0

8.9%

1-2

8.7%

0-2

8.5%

2-1

5.5%

1-3

4.5%

2-2

4.5%

0-3

4.4%

2-0

4.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Beijing Guoan – Qingdao Youth Island prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).