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Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Robbed

Chengdu Rongcheng drew despite more chances

Chengdu RongchengChengdu Rongcheng

1–1

Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns
2.8Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Chengdu Rongcheng would usually take 2.0 points and Wuhan Three Towns 0.9; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Chengdu Rongcheng.

Chengdu Rongcheng −1.0 pts vs chancesWuhan Three Towns +0.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Chengdu Rongcheng had clearly more shots on target

Chengdu Rongcheng

Wuhan Three Towns

9

Shots on target

6

5

Big chances

3

9

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

2

59%

Possession

41%

The match between Chengdu Rongcheng and Wuhan Three Towns ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Chengdu Rongcheng win at 70% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Our model got 1 out of 4 markets right, correctly predicting Over/Under 3.5 Goals — a reminder that football can be unpredictable, but the data continues to sharpen future predictions.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shanghai Port – Chengdu Rongcheng prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chengdu Rongcheng to win

Wrong
Our model 70%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 325 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 67%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 3,986 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chengdu Rongcheng ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Chengdu Rongcheng Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Chengdu Rongcheng 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 63%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

Wuhan Three Towns Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Wuhan Three Towns 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Chengdu Rongcheng vs Wuhan Three Towns. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Chengdu RongchengChengdu Rongcheng1
Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns1

Winner

1 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

2-0 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 55%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

170%
X19%
211%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%45%55%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Chengdu Rongcheng13%87%38%62%
Wuhan Three Towns57%43%86%14%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Chengdu Rongcheng64%36%82%18%
Wuhan Three Towns97%3%99%1%

1st Half

154%
X33%
213%

1st Score

172%
X6%
222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

50%

X-1

19%

X-X

9%

2-2

6%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

1-X

3%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

12.4%

1-0

12.4%

2-1

9.6%

3-0

8.7%

1-1

8.6%

3-1

6.6%

0-0

6.1%

0-1

4.2%

2-2

3.4%

1-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Shanghai Port – Chengdu Rongcheng prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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