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Liaoning Tieren FC vs Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 21)

Fair result
Liaoning Tieren FCLiaoning Tieren FC

3–1

Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua
1.8Chances (xG)1.5

On these chances Liaoning Tieren FC would usually take 1.6 points and Shanghai Shenhua 1.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Shanghai Shenhua.

Liaoning Tieren FC +1.4 pts vs chancesShanghai Shenhua −1.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Liaoning Tieren FC vs Shanghai Shenhua stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Liaoning Tieren FC had clearly more shots on target

Liaoning Tieren FC

Shanghai Shenhua

3

Shots on target

2

3

Big chances

1

4

Corners

2

1

Yellow cards

4

44%

Possession

56%

The match between Liaoning Tieren FC and Shanghai Shenhua ended 3-1. Our AI model predicted an Shanghai Shenhua win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liaoning Tieren FC – Hangzhou prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Liaoning Tieren FC vs Shanghai Shenhua — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 64%

Our track record

In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 257 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.1% than to our 55–60%.

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Shanghai Shenhua ahead at half-time.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.

Liaoning Tieren FC Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Liaoning Tieren FC 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Shanghai Shenhua Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Shanghai Shenhua 2+ goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 30%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Liaoning Tieren FC vs Shanghai Shenhua 3-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Liaoning Tieren FC vs Shanghai Shenhua. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Liaoning Tieren FCLiaoning Tieren FC3
Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua1

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 66%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 53%

Full Time

134%
X23%
242%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT16%84%35%65%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT47%53%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Liaoning Tieren FC29%71%58%42%
Shanghai Shenhua23%77%51%49%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Liaoning Tieren FC81%19%93%8%
Shanghai Shenhua75%25%89%11%

1st Half

129%
X40%
231%

1st Score

148%
X4%
248%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

22%

1-1

19%

X-X

14%

X-2

14%

X-1

12%

1-X

6%

2-X

5%

1-2

4%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

9.8%

1-2

8.8%

2-1

7.6%

2-2

6.7%

0-1

6.3%

1-0

5.9%

0-2

5.2%

1-3

5.0%

2-0

4.2%

3-1

4.0%

0-0

4.0%

2-3

3.9%

3-2

3.4%

0-3

3.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Liaoning Tieren FC – Hangzhou prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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