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Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan Longmen 4-1 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026 (Round 23)

Fair result
Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua

4–1

Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen
2.2Chances (xG)1.3

On these chances Shanghai Shenhua would usually take 2.0 points and Henan Songshan Longmen 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Shanghai Shenhua.

Shanghai Shenhua +1.0 pts vs chancesHenan Songshan Longmen −0.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan Longmen stats: how the match was played

Super League

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Shanghai Shenhua had clearly more shots on target

Shanghai Shenhua

Henan Songshan Longmen

7

Shots on target

4

5

Big chances

2

2

Corners

4

0

Yellow cards

2

39%

Possession

61%

The match between Shanghai Shenhua and Henan Songshan Longmen ended 4-1. Our AI model correctly predicted a Shanghai Shenhua win with 57% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sichuan – Shanghai Shenhua prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan Longmen — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Super League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua to win

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,802 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.2% of the time (bookmakers said 61.3%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 57%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Shanghai Shenhua Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Shanghai Shenhua 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Henan Songshan Longmen Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Henan Songshan Longmen 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 74%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan Longmen 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Shanghai Shenhua vs Henan Songshan Longmen. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Super League - China
Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua4
Henan Songshan LongmenHenan Songshan Longmen1

Winner

1 57%

BTTS*

Yes 57%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 57%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 55%

Full Time

157%
X23%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%43%57%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT55%45%78%22%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Shanghai Shenhua17%83%45%55%
Henan Songshan Longmen42%58%74%26%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Shanghai Shenhua70%30%87%13%
Henan Songshan Longmen92%8%98%2%

1st Half

146%
X37%
217%

1st Score

162%
X5%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

18%

X-X

13%

2-2

11%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-1

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.6%

1-0

10.0%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

8.8%

3-1

6.3%

3-0

5.7%

1-2

5.5%

0-0

5.4%

0-1

5.4%

2-2

5.3%

3-2

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sichuan – Shanghai Shenhua prediction & betting tips (Oct 24, 2026).

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