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Boca Juniors vs Independiente 0-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Robbed

Independiente drew despite more chances

Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors

0–0

IndependienteIndependiente
0.8Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Boca Juniors would usually take 0.8 points and Independiente 2.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Boca Juniors.

Boca Juniors +0.3 pts vs chancesIndependiente −1.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Boca Juniors vs Independiente stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Independiente had more than twice the shots on target

Boca Juniors

Independiente

2

Shots on target

5

1

Big chances

4

3

Corners

6

2

Yellow cards

2

51%

Possession

49%

The match between Boca Juniors and Independiente ended 0-0. Our AI model predicted a Boca Juniors win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Boca Juniors – River Plate prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Boca Juniors vs Independiente — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boca Juniors to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 3,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,491 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 68%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,165 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 398 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.9% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,258 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Boca Juniors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boca Juniors 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Independiente Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Independiente 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Boca Juniors vs Independiente 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Boca Juniors vs Independiente. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors0
IndependienteIndependiente0

Winner

1X 79%

BTTS*

No 64%

Correct Score

1-0 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 68%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 76%

Full Time

149%
X30%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT42%58%68%32%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT76%24%93%7%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Boca Juniors29%71%65%35%
Independiente52%48%84%16%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Boca Juniors87%13%96%4%
Independiente96%4%99%1%

1st Half

129%
X51%
220%

1st Score

150%
X15%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

23%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

2-X

5%

1-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

18.0%

0-0

14.5%

1-1

12.6%

2-0

10.7%

0-1

9.0%

2-1

8.0%

3-0

4.7%

1-2

4.5%

0-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Boca Juniors – River Plate prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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