1. Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys

Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result
Talleres CórdobaTalleres Córdoba

1–3

Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys
1.5Chances (xG)2.0

On these chances Talleres Córdoba would usually take 1.1 points and Newell's Old Boys 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Talleres Córdoba.

Talleres Córdoba −1.1 pts vs chancesNewell's Old Boys +1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Newell's Old Boys had more than twice the shots on target

Talleres Córdoba

Newell's Old Boys

2

Shots on target

8

1

Big chances

6

6

Corners

2

2

Yellow cards

4

70%

Possession

30%

The match between Talleres Córdoba and Newell's Old Boys ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Talleres Córdoba win at 53% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Riestra – Talleres Córdoba prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Talleres Córdoba to win

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 2,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 49%

Our track record

In 101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.3% than to our 60–65%.

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 82%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Talleres Córdoba ahead at half-time.

Our model 49%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.

Talleres Córdoba Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Talleres Córdoba 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Talleres Córdoba 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 1,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.

Newell's Old Boys Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Newell's Old Boys 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 84%Bookmakers 93%

Our track record

In 1,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Talleres CórdobaTalleres Córdoba1
Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys3

Winner

1 53%

BTTS*

No 59%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

153%
X28%
219%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT36%64%62%38%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT72%28%91%9%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Talleres Córdoba25%75%58%42%
Newell's Old Boys50%50%84%16%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Talleres Córdoba83%17%94%6%
Newell's Old Boys96%4%99%1%

1st Half

135%
X49%
216%

1st Score

159%
X12%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

22%

X-1

19%

2-2

10%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.9%

0-0

12.2%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

10.6%

2-1

9.4%

0-1

8.2%

3-0

5.6%

1-2

4.4%

3-1

4.0%

2-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Deportivo Riestra – Talleres Córdoba prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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