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Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys 1-3 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)
1–3
On these chances Talleres Córdoba would usually take 1.1 points and Newell's Old Boys 1.7; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Talleres Córdoba.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Newell's Old Boys had more than twice the shots on target
Talleres Córdoba
Newell's Old Boys
2
Shots on target
8
1
Big chances
6
6
Corners
2
2
Yellow cards
4
70%
Possession
30%
Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Talleres Córdoba to win
WrongOur track record
In 2,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
WrongOur track record
In 5,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Over 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 101 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.3% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Talleres Córdoba ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 552 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 35.3% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 38.8% than to our 45–50%.
Our model’s pick
Talleres Córdoba 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Talleres Córdoba 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,029 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.9% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Newell's Old Boys 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 1,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Talleres Córdoba vs Newell's Old Boys. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Winner
1 53%
BTTS*
No 59%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 72%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 36% | 64% | 62% | 38% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 72% | 28% | 91% | 9% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25% | 75% | 58% | 42% | |
| 50% | 50% | 84% | 16% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% | |
| 96% | 4% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
X-X
22%
X-1
19%
2-2
10%
X-2
8%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
2%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.9%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.2%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score