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Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata

Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result

Platense

1–0

Gimnasia La Plata

1.3Chances (xG)0.4

On these chances Platense would usually take 2.1 points and Gimnasia La Plata 0.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Platense.

Platense +0.9 pts vs chancesGimnasia La Plata −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Platense had more than twice the shots on target

Platense

Gimnasia La Plata

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

33%

Possession

67%

The match between Platense and Gimnasia La Plata ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Platense win with 47% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto – Gimnasia La Plata prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Platense to win

Correct

Our model 47%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,517 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,491 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 69%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 1,165 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 87%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 398 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.9% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,256 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Platense Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Platense 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 66%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,676 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Gimnasia La Plata Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 84%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 1,492 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Platense vs Gimnasia La Plata. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Platense1

Gimnasia La Plata0

Winner

1X 79%

BTTS*

No 64%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 77%

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Platense1

Gimnasia La Plata0

Winner

1X 79%

BTTS*

No 64%

Correct Score

1-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 69%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 77%

Full Time

147%

X32%

221%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	43%	57%	69%	31%	77%	23%	94%	7%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	43%	57%	69%	31%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	77%	23%	94%	7%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%	88%	12%	96%	4%
	50%	50%	84%	16%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	31%	69%	66%	34%
	50%	50%	84%	16%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	88%	12%	96%	4%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

127%

X54%

219%

1st Score

149%

X16%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

28%

1-1

22%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

10%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

16.8%

0-0

15.8%

1-1

12.8%

0-1

10.0%

2-0

9.6%

2-1

8.3%

3-0

4.3%

1-2

4.3%

0-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto – Gimnasia La Plata prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).