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  4. Vélez Sarsfield vs Huracán

Vélez Sarsfield vs Huracán 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result
Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield

2–0

HuracánHuracán
1.4Chances (xG)0.2

On these chances Vélez Sarsfield would usually take 2.3 points and Huracán 0.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Vélez Sarsfield.

Vélez Sarsfield +0.7 pts vs chancesHuracán −0.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Vélez Sarsfield vs Huracán stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Vélez Sarsfield had more than twice the shots on target

Vélez Sarsfield

Huracán

5

Shots on target

0

4

Big chances

0

2

Corners

0

3

Yellow cards

4

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Vélez Sarsfield and Huracán ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Vélez Sarsfield win with 54% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Huracán – Tigre prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

Vélez Sarsfield vs Huracán — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vélez Sarsfield to win

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 2,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,491 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 65%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,165 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 84%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 50%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,282 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Vélez Sarsfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Vélez Sarsfield 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 60%

Our track record

In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Huracán Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Huracán 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 86%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 603 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.1%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Huracán 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vélez Sarsfield vs Huracán. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Vélez SarsfieldVélez Sarsfield2
HuracánHuracán0

Winner

1 54%

BTTS*

No 62%

Correct Score

1-0 18%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 65%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 74%

Full Time

154%
X28%
218%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT38%62%65%35%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT74%26%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vélez Sarsfield25%75%60%40%
Huracán53%47%86%14%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vélez Sarsfield84%16%95%5%
Huracán97%3%99%1%

1st Half

133%
X50%
217%

1st Score

158%
X13%
229%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

32%

X-1

20%

X-X

19%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

17.6%

0-0

12.7%

1-1

12.2%

2-0

11.6%

2-1

8.8%

0-1

8.1%

3-0

5.5%

1-2

4.1%

3-1

3.9%

0-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Huracán – Tigre prediction & betting tips (Oct 30, 2026).

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