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Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe 0-0 Score & Prediction Review
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)
Defensa y Justicia0–0
Unión Santa FeOn these chances Defensa y Justicia would usually take 1.5 points and Unión Santa Fe 1.2; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Defensa y Justicia.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe stats: how the match was played
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
Defensa y Justicia
Unión Santa Fe
4
Shots on target
3
3
Big chances
2
6
Corners
1
0
Yellow cards
1
56%
Possession
44%
Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Defensa y Justicia to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,538 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.5% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
No, not both
CorrectOur track record
In 2,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.6% of the time (bookmakers said 61.7%).
Our model’s pick
Under 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,177 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.1% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 401 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 88.0% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 4,313 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).
Our model’s pick
Defensa y Justicia 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,500 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.1% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Unión Santa Fe 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,507 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.2% of the time (bookmakers said 80.5%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe 0-0 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Defensa y Justicia vs Unión Santa Fe. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Defensa y Justicia0
Unión Santa Fe0Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 75%
Defensa y Justicia0Unión Santa Fe0Winner
1X 77%
BTTS*
No 61%
Correct Score
1-0 16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 67%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 75%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 40% | 60% | 67% | 33% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 75% | 25% | 93% | 7% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 65% | 35% |
| 47% | 53% | 82% | 18% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87% | 13% | 96% | 4% |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
26%
X-X
23%
X-1
17%
2-2
12%
X-2
9%
1-X
5%
2-X
4%
2-1
3%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
15.9%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
4.8%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score