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  4. Banfield vs Sarmiento

Banfield vs Sarmiento 1-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result
BanfieldBanfield

1–1

SarmientoSarmiento
1.4Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Banfield would usually take 1.1 points and Sarmiento 1.6; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Banfield.

Banfield −0.1 pts vs chancesSarmiento −0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Sarmiento stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Sarmiento had clearly more shots on target

Banfield

Sarmiento

4

Shots on target

6

4

Big chances

1

6

Corners

6

3

Yellow cards

2

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Banfield and Sarmiento ended 1-1. Our AI model predicted a Banfield win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Rosario Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Banfield vs Sarmiento — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield to win

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,518 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.6% of the time (bookmakers said 50.6%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 79%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 53%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,258 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 53.9% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).

Banfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 59%Bookmakers 70%

Our track record

In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Sarmiento Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Sarmiento 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 78%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 2,587 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Banfield vs Sarmiento 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Banfield vs Sarmiento. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
BanfieldBanfield1
SarmientoSarmiento1

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

149%
X27%
224%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%88%12%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Banfield26%74%59%41%
Sarmiento45%55%78%22%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Banfield83%17%94%6%
Sarmiento93%7%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X53%
216%

1st Score

156%
X10%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

29%

X-X

21%

X-1

20%

X-2

9%

2-2

9%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

14.1%

1-1

11.9%

0-0

10.4%

2-0

9.7%

2-1

8.8%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

5.3%

3-0

4.9%

3-1

4.0%

0-2

4.0%

2-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Rosario Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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