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Instituto vs Godoy Cruz 1-3 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result
InstitutoInstituto

1–3

Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz
1.4Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Instituto would usually take 1.3 points and Godoy Cruz 1.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Instituto.

Instituto −1.3 pts vs chancesGodoy Cruz +1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Instituto vs Godoy Cruz stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Instituto

Godoy Cruz

5

Shots on target

6

1

Big chances

3

5

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

0

52%

Possession

48%

The match between Instituto and Godoy Cruz ended 1-3. Our AI model predicted a Instituto win at 42% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Instituto – Deportivo Riestra prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

Instituto vs Godoy Cruz — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Instituto to win

Wrong
Our model 42%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,622 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.3% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Yes, both score.

Our model 53%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,117 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 5,327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 79%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,655 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 76.0% of the time (bookmakers said 76.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 45%

Our track record

In 4,282 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Instituto Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Instituto 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

Godoy Cruz Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Godoy Cruz 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,384 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.4% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Instituto vs Godoy Cruz 1-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Instituto vs Godoy Cruz. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
InstitutoInstituto1
Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz3

Winner

1X 70%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

142%
X28%
230%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT33%67%59%41%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT69%31%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Instituto29%71%64%36%
Godoy Cruz38%62%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Instituto86%14%95%5%
Godoy Cruz91%9%98%2%

1st Half

129%
X47%
224%

1st Score

148%
X10%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

22%

X-X

21%

2-2

16%

X-1

14%

X-2

12%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

12.8%

1-0

12.8%

0-0

10.2%

0-1

10.1%

2-1

8.4%

2-0

7.6%

1-2

6.6%

0-2

5.2%

2-2

4.4%

3-1

3.4%

3-0

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Instituto – Deportivo Riestra prediction & betting tips (Oct 27, 2026).

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