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Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors

Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result

Estudiantes

2–2

Argentinos Juniors

1.7Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances Estudiantes would usually take 1.3 points and Argentinos Juniors 1.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Estudiantes.

Estudiantes −0.3 pts vs chancesArgentinos Juniors −0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Estudiantes had clearly more shots on target

Estudiantes

Argentinos Juniors

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Estudiantes and Argentinos Juniors ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Estudiantes win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Unión Santa Fe – Estudiantes prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).

Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes to win

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 39%

Our track record

In 2,481 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 56%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 59%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 5,327 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 80%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,715 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.5% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 49%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 4,282 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 48.2% of the time (bookmakers said 47.2%).

Estudiantes Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Estudiantes 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 3,488 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Argentinos Juniors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Argentinos Juniors 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 81%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 1,494 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.1% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Estudiantes vs Argentinos Juniors. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Estudiantes2

Argentinos Juniors2

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Estudiantes2

Argentinos Juniors2

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-0 15%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 59%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

152%

X28%

221%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	34%	66%	59%	41%	70%	30%	90%	10%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	34%	66%	59%	41%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	70%	30%	90%	10%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	24%	76%	58%	42%	82%	18%	94%	6%
	47%	53%	81%	19%	95%	5%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	24%	76%	58%	42%
	47%	53%	81%	19%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	82%	18%	94%	6%
	95%	5%	99%	1%

1st Half

131%

X49%

220%

1st Score

154%

X11%

236%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

27%

X-X

20%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

1-0

15.4%

1-1

12.3%

0-0

10.7%

2-0

9.9%

2-1

9.5%

0-1

7.9%

3-0

5.3%

1-2

5.1%

3-1

4.1%

2-2

4.0%

0-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Unión Santa Fe – Estudiantes prediction & betting tips (Oct 26, 2026).