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  4. Racing Club vs River Plate

Racing Club vs River Plate 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2024 (Round 27)

Fair result
Racing ClubRacing Club

1–0

River PlateRiver Plate
1.4Chances (xG)1.8

On these chances Racing Club would usually take 1.2 points and River Plate 1.6; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: River Plate.

Racing Club +1.8 pts vs chancesRiver Plate −1.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Racing Club vs River Plate stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Racing Club

River Plate

6

Shots on target

8

1

Big chances

1

5

Corners

8

3

Yellow cards

3

35%

Possession

65%

The match between Racing Club and River Plate ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Racing Club win with 36% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Racing Club – Aldosivi prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

Racing Club vs River Plate — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing Club to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: River Plate to win.

Our model 36%Bookmakers 24%

Our track record

In 1,523 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 56%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,735 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.9% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 5,187 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 71%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 4,575 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,683 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.3% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Racing Club Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Racing Club 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,470 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 64.0% of the time (bookmakers said 64.0%).

River Plate Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

River Plate 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: River Plate 2+ goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 366 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.8% than to our 60–65%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Racing Club vs River Plate 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Racing Club vs River Plate. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Racing ClubRacing Club1
River PlateRiver Plate0

Winner

12 71%

BTTS*

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 52%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 61%

Full Time

136%
X29%
236%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%48%52%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT61%39%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Racing Club28%72%62%38%
River Plate28%72%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Racing Club85%15%95%5%
River Plate85%15%95%5%

1st Half

127%
X44%
230%

1st Score

143%
X7%
251%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

21%

2-2

20%

X-X

18%

X-1

13%

X-2

10%

2-X

8%

1-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.5%

2-1

9.0%

0-1

8.5%

1-2

8.4%

1-0

8.1%

0-0

6.9%

2-2

6.1%

0-2

5.7%

2-0

5.4%

1-3

3.8%

3-1

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Racing Club – Aldosivi prediction & betting tips (Oct 31, 2026).

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