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  4. Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central

Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central 0-1 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 3)

Fair result
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra

0–1

Barracas CentralBarracas Central
1.2Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Deportivo Riestra would usually take 1.4 points and Barracas Central 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Deportivo Riestra.

Deportivo Riestra −1.4 pts vs chancesBarracas Central +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Deportivo Riestra

Barracas Central

4

Shots on target

3

1

Big chances

3

5

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

3

40%

Possession

60%

The match between Deportivo Riestra and Barracas Central ended 0-1. Our AI model predicted a Deportivo Riestra win at 46% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Barracas Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Riestra to win

Wrong
Our model 46%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 66%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 406 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.1% of the time (bookmakers said 65.2%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 73%Bookmakers 78%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 89%Bookmakers 92%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.7% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 49%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Deportivo Riestra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Riestra 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 70%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Barracas Central Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barracas Central 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 85%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 85.2% of the time (bookmakers said 85.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra0
Barracas CentralBarracas Central1

Winner

1X 78%

BTTS*

No 66%

Correct Score

1-0 19%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 73%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 79%

Full Time

146%
X33%
222%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT46%54%73%27%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT79%21%95%5%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Deportivo Riestra33%67%70%30%
Barracas Central52%48%85%15%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Deportivo Riestra90%10%97%3%
Barracas Central97%3%99%1%

1st Half

134%
X49%
217%

1st Score

153%
X17%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

25%

X-1

17%

2-2

11%

X-2

8%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

18.9%

0-0

16.8%

1-1

12.9%

0-1

10.8%

2-0

9.8%

2-1

7.4%

1-2

4.4%

0-2

3.6%

3-0

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Sarmiento – Barracas Central prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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