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Banfield vs Belgrano 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 4)

Fair result
BanfieldBanfield

0–2

BelgranoBelgrano
2.1Chances (xG)1.7

On these chances Banfield would usually take 1.7 points and Belgrano 1.1; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Belgrano.

Banfield −1.7 pts vs chancesBelgrano +1.9 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Banfield vs Belgrano stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Banfield

Belgrano

5

Shots on target

5

5

Big chances

4

4

Corners

1

3

Yellow cards

1

49%

Possession

51%

The match between Banfield and Belgrano ended 0-2. Our AI model predicted a Banfield win at 36% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Belgrano – River Plate prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Banfield vs Belgrano — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield to win

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Belgrano to win.

Our model 36%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 302 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 60.6% of the time (bookmakers said 57.9%).

Banfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Belgrano Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Belgrano 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 73%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Banfield vs Belgrano 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Banfield vs Belgrano. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
BanfieldBanfield0
BelgranoBelgrano2

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 56%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 64%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 73%

Full Time

136%
X31%
233%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT38%62%64%36%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT73%27%92%8%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Banfield35%65%72%28%
Belgrano37%63%73%27%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Banfield91%9%98%2%
Belgrano92%8%98%2%

1st Half

125%
X55%
220%

1st Score

146%
X13%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

24%

1-1

18%

X-1

16%

2-2

15%

X-2

14%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

1-2

2%

2-1

2%

Correct Score

1-1

13.8%

1-0

13.2%

0-0

12.5%

0-1

11.9%

2-1

7.6%

1-2

7.3%

2-0

6.6%

0-2

6.3%

2-2

3.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Belgrano – River Plate prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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