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Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 5)

Fair result
Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys

2–0

Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra
0.9Chances (xG)1.0

On these chances Newell's Old Boys would usually take 1.3 points and Deportivo Riestra 1.4; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: a draw.

Newell's Old Boys +1.7 pts vs chancesDeportivo Riestra −1.4 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Newell's Old Boys

Deportivo Riestra

3

Shots on target

3

2

Big chances

1

6

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

2

65%

Possession

35%

The match between Newell's Old Boys and Deportivo Riestra ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Newell's Old Boys win with 40% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Newell's Old Boys – Central Cordoba SdE prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Newell's Old Boys to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw.

Our model 40%Bookmakers 33%

Our track record

In 1,528 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.8% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 62%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 72%Bookmakers 73%

Our track record

In 289 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.6% of the time (bookmakers said 71.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 88%Bookmakers 88%

Our track record

In 399 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 87.7% of the time (bookmakers said 86.2%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Newell's Old Boys Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Newell's Old Boys 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Deportivo Riestra Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Deportivo Riestra 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 81%Bookmakers 79%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Newell's Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Newell's Old BoysNewell's Old Boys2
Deportivo RiestraDeportivo Riestra0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 62%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 72%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 78%

Full Time

140%
X33%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT44%56%72%28%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT78%22%95%5%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Newell's Old Boys35%65%72%28%
Deportivo Riestra45%55%81%19%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Newell's Old Boys92%8%98%2%
Deportivo Riestra95%5%99%1%

1st Half

126%
X55%
219%

1st Score

147%
X16%
237%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

25%

1-1

20%

X-1

17%

2-2

13%

X-2

11%

1-X

5%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

16.2%

0-0

15.8%

1-1

14.0%

0-1

12.3%

2-0

8.5%

2-1

7.2%

1-2

5.4%

0-2

4.9%

2-2

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Newell's Old Boys – Central Cordoba SdE prediction & betting tips (Oct 19, 2026).

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