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  4. Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 6)

Fair result
Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata

2–3

Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
1.5Chances (xG)1.4

On these chances Gimnasia La Plata would usually take 1.4 points and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1.3; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Gimnasia La Plata.

Gimnasia La Plata −1.4 pts vs chancesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza +1.7 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Gimnasia La Plata

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

5

Shots on target

6

2

Big chances

2

6

Corners

1

0

Yellow cards

3

56%

Possession

44%

The match between Gimnasia La Plata and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Gimnasia La Plata win at 52% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza – Platense prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia La Plata to win

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,495 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.6% of the time (bookmakers said 55.1%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 5,732 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.7%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 61%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 80%Bookmakers 80%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 52%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Gimnasia La Plata Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 59%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 81%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gimnasia La Plata vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Gimnasia La PlataGimnasia La Plata2
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza3

Winner

1 52%

BTTS*

No 55%

Correct Score

1-0 16%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 70%

Full Time

152%
X27%
221%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT34%66%60%40%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT70%30%89%11%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Gimnasia La Plata24%76%58%42%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza46%54%81%19%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Gimnasia La Plata82%18%94%6%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza95%5%99%1%

1st Half

131%
X52%
217%

1st Score

155%
X10%
234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

25%

X-X

22%

X-1

21%

2-2

11%

X-2

9%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

2-1

2%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

1-0

15.6%

1-1

12.4%

0-0

10.4%

2-0

9.7%

2-1

9.4%

0-1

8.2%

1-2

5.2%

3-0

4.4%

3-1

4.2%

2-2

3.9%

0-2

3.4%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza – Platense prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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