Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 9)
Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield — Liga Profesional de Fútbol Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 9 · 2nd Phase
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
Newell's Old Boys50%11/22+18.5%Strongly above implied probability
Vélez Sarsfield37.5%9/24-11.1%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Newell's Old Boys50%11/22-8.1%Near implied probabilityVélez Sarsfield54.2%13/24-0.4%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.9% implied
Newell's Old Boys59.1%13/22+9.6%Above implied probabilityVélez Sarsfield75%18/24+39.1%Strongly above implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.4% implied
Newell's Old Boys77.3%17/22+28%Strongly above implied probabilityVélez Sarsfield83.3%20/24+37.9%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Newell's Old Boys50%11/22+32.6%Strongly above implied probabilityVélez Sarsfield50%12/24+32.6%Strongly above implied probabilityNewell's Old Boys2/22Vélez Sarsfield2/24Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Newell's Old Boys and Vélez Sarsfield across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Vélez Sarsfield hit at 75% accuracy — that's 39.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 53.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Vélez Sarsfield sit 11.1% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Newell's Old Boys–
Vélez Sarsfield–Winner
12 67%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
0-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 76%
Newell's Old Boys–Vélez Sarsfield–Winner
12 67%
BTTS**
No 59%
Correct Score
0-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 69%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 76%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 41% | 59% | 69% | 31% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 76% | 24% | 94% | 6% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38% | 62% | 75% | 25% |
| 38% | 62% | 74% | 26% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
| 93% | 7% | 98% | 2% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
X-X
24%
2-2
17%
1-1
16%
X-2
16%
X-1
13%
1-X
6%
2-X
5%
1-2
2%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
0-0
14.6%
1-1
14.3%
1-0
13.5%
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Newell's Old Boys vs Vélez Sarsfield — Prediction Form & Streaks
Vélez Sarsfield have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2th in the table. Newell's Old Boys have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table.
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Newell's Old Boys well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Newell's Old BoysVélez SarsfieldNewell's Old BoysVélez SarsfieldNewell's Old BoysVélez SarsfieldNewell's Old BoysVélez SarsfieldNewell's Old BoysVélez SarsfieldNewell's Old BoysVélez SarsfieldNewell's Old Boys & Vélez Sarsfield Teams in Best Form
Vélez SarsfieldNewell's Old Boys