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  4. Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 9)

Fair result
Defensa y JusticiaDefensa y Justicia

2–0

Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
1.3Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Defensa y Justicia would usually take 1.5 points and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1.3; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Defensa y Justicia.

Defensa y Justicia +1.6 pts vs chancesGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza −1.3 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Defensa y Justicia had more than twice the shots on target

Defensa y Justicia

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza

6

Shots on target

1

3

Big chances

1

5

Corners

6

1

Yellow cards

3

49%

Possession

52%

The match between Defensa y Justicia and Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Defensa y Justicia win with 48% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza – Platense prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Defensa y Justicia to win

Correct
Our model 48%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 5,191 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.0% of the time (bookmakers said 56.4%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 77%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong
Our model 49%Bookmakers 44%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Defensa y Justicia Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Defensa y Justicia 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 3,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.1%).

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 75%Bookmakers 75%

Our track record

In 3,381 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Defensa y Justicia vs Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina
Defensa y JusticiaDefensa y Justicia2
Gimnasia y Esgrima MendozaGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza0

Winner

1X 75%

BTTS*

No 51%

Correct Score

1-0 13%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 54%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 66%

Full Time

148%
X27%
225%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT30%70%54%46%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT66%34%87%13%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Defensa y Justicia24%76%58%42%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza40%60%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Defensa y Justicia82%18%94%6%
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza92%8%98%2%

1st Half

132%
X49%
219%

1st Score

156%
X9%
235%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

26%

X-X

20%

X-1

18%

2-2

12%

X-2

10%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

12.6%

1-1

12.5%

2-1

9.8%

0-0

9.0%

2-0

8.6%

0-1

7.9%

1-2

6.5%

2-2

4.7%

3-0

4.2%

3-1

4.2%

0-2

3.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza – Platense prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

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