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Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield

Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Robbed

Gimnasia La Plata drew despite more chances

Gimnasia La Plata

2–2

Banfield

2.9Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Gimnasia La Plata would usually take 2.3 points and Banfield 0.5; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Gimnasia La Plata.

Gimnasia La Plata −1.3 pts vs chancesBanfield +0.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Gimnasia La Plata had clearly more shots on target

Gimnasia La Plata

Banfield

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Gimnasia La Plata and Banfield ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Gimnasia La Plata win at 49% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia La Plata – Sarmiento prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).

Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia La Plata to win

Wrong

Our model 49%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 53%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 58%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 79%Bookmakers 77%

Our track record

In 3,681 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.9% of the time (bookmakers said 76.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 43%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Gimnasia La Plata Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Gimnasia La Plata 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Gimnasia La Plata 2+ goals.

Our model 59%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Banfield Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Banfield 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 78%Bookmakers 81%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Gimnasia La Plata2

Banfield2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Gimnasia La Plata2

Banfield2

Winner

1X 76%

BTTS*

No 53%

Correct Score

1-0 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 69%

Full Time

149%

X27%

224%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%	69%	31%	89%	11%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	32%	68%	58%	42%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	69%	31%	89%	11%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	25%	75%	59%	41%	83%	17%	94%	6%
	43%	57%	78%	22%	94%	6%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	25%	75%	59%	41%
	43%	57%	78%	22%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	83%	17%	94%	6%
	94%	6%	99%	1%

1st Half

128%

X54%

218%

1st Score

156%

X10%

234%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

23%

X-X

21%

X-1

19%

2-2

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-0

13.8%

1-1

12.5%

0-0

9.7%

2-1

9.3%

2-0

9.2%

0-1

8.8%

1-2

5.9%

3-0

4.1%

0-2

4.1%

3-1

4.1%

2-2

4.0%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Gimnasia La Plata vs Banfield — Recent Form

Gimnasia La Plata have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table. Banfield have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Gimnasia La Plata

Banfield

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Gimnasia La Plata

0/5

Banfield

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Gimnasia La Plata

2/5

Banfield

1/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Gimnasia La Plata

3/5

Banfield

3/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Gimnasia La Plata

4/5

Banfield

4/5

First Half Result

Gimnasia La Plata

2/5

Banfield

2/5

Correct Score

Gimnasia La Plata

2/5

Banfield

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia La Plata – Sarmiento prediction & betting tips (Oct 23, 2026).