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San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors 0-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 10)

Fair result

San Lorenzo

0–2

Boca Juniors

0.4Chances (xG)1.9

On these chances San Lorenzo would usually take 0.4 points and Boca Juniors 2.4; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Boca Juniors.

San Lorenzo −0.4 pts vs chancesBoca Juniors +0.6 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Boca Juniors had more than twice the shots on target

San Lorenzo

Boca Juniors

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

Red cards

24%

Possession

76%

The match between San Lorenzo and Boca Juniors ended 0-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Boca Juniors win with 38% confidence before kick-off. A strong performance overall — our model hit all 4 key markets for this fixture, correctly calling Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes – San Lorenzo prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boca Juniors to win

Correct

Our model 38%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 2,116 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 43.6% of the time (bookmakers said 44.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

Our model 54%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 6,506 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 62%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 82%Bookmakers 86%

Our track record

In 1,741 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 80.4% of the time (bookmakers said 81.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct

Our model 51%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

San Lorenzo Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

San Lorenzo 0–1 goals

Correct

Our model 73%Bookmakers 85%

Our track record

In 1,588 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.5% of the time (bookmakers said 72.0%).

Boca Juniors Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Boca Juniors 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 68%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 3,281 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors 0-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

San Lorenzo0

Boca Juniors2

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

San Lorenzo0

Boca Juniors2

Winner

12 69%

BTTS*

No 54%

Correct Score

1-1 14%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 72%

Full Time

131%

X31%

238%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	35%	65%	62%	38%	72%	28%	91%	9%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	35%	65%	62%	38%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	72%	28%	91%	9%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	37%	63%	73%	27%	92%	8%	98%	2%
	32%	68%	68%	32%	89%	11%	97%	3%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	37%	63%	73%	27%
	32%	68%	68%	32%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	92%	8%	98%	2%
	89%	11%	97%	3%

1st Half

122%

X51%

226%

1st Score

139%

X11%

249%

Half Time/Full Time

X-X

22%

2-2

18%

1-1

16%

X-2

15%

X-1

13%

1-X

2-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-1

14.1%

0-1

12.5%

0-0

11.4%

1-0

10.9%

1-2

8.0%

0-2

7.5%

2-1

7.0%

2-0

5.7%

2-2

4.3%

1-3

3.1%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

San Lorenzo vs Boca Juniors — Recent Form

Boca Juniors have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 2nd in the table. San Lorenzo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Boca Juniors

San Lorenzo

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

San Lorenzo

4/5

Boca Juniors

4/5

Both Teams to Score

San Lorenzo

3/5

Boca Juniors

3/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

San Lorenzo

4/5

Boca Juniors

1/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

San Lorenzo

5/5

Boca Juniors

3/5

First Half Result

San Lorenzo

3/5

Boca Juniors

4/5

Correct Score

San Lorenzo

1/5

Boca Juniors

0/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Estudiantes – San Lorenzo prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).