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Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central

Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central 2-3 Score & Prediction Review

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Season 2026 (Round 11)

Fair result

Atlético Tucumán

2–3

Barracas Central

1.3Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Atlético Tucumán would usually take 1.5 points and Barracas Central 1.2; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: Atlético Tucumán.

Atlético Tucumán −1.5 pts vs chancesBarracas Central +1.8 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central stats: how the match was played

Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Atlético Tucumán had clearly more shots on target

Atlético Tucumán

Barracas Central

Shots on target

Big chances

Corners

Yellow cards

41%

Possession

59%

The match between Atlético Tucumán and Barracas Central ended 2-3. Our AI model predicted a Atlético Tucumán win at 41% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia La Plata – Atlético Tucumán prediction & betting tips (Oct 9, 2026).

Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Tucumán to win

Wrong

Our model 41%Bookmakers 53%

Our track record

In 3,486 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 46.7% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Wrong

Our model 65%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,365 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.5%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 2.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 72%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 279 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.4% of the time (bookmakers said 71.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong

Our model 89%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 390 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 85–90% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 88.2% of the time (bookmakers said 86.3%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 52%Bookmakers 51%

Our track record

In 1,203 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.2% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Atlético Tucumán Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Atlético Tucumán 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 73%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 1,544 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 71.2% of the time (bookmakers said 72.1%).

Barracas Central Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Barracas Central 0–1 goals

Wrong

Our model 82%Bookmakers 87%

Our track record

In 1,484 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.6% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central 2-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Atlético Tucumán2

Barracas Central3

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 65%

Correct Score

0-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 72%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 79%

· FT

Liga Profesional de Fútbol - Argentina

Atlético Tucumán2

Barracas Central3

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS*

No 65%

Correct Score

0-0 17%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

under 72%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 79%

Full Time

141%

X33%

227%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	46%	54%	72%	28%	79%	21%	95%	5%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	46%	54%	72%	28%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	79%	21%	95%	5%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	36%	64%	73%	27%	91%	9%	98%	2%
	47%	53%	82%	18%	96%	4%	99%	1%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	36%	64%	73%	27%
	47%	53%	82%	18%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	91%	9%	98%	2%
	96%	4%	99%	1%

1st Half

130%

X52%

217%

1st Score

151%

X17%

232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

24%

X-X

24%

X-1

17%

2-2

12%

X-2

11%

1-X

2-X

2-1

1-2

Correct Score

0-0

17.1%

1-0

16.8%

1-1

12.8%

0-1

12.3%

2-0

8.1%

2-1

7.1%

1-2

5.3%

0-2

4.9%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Atlético Tucumán vs Barracas Central — Recent Form

Barracas Central have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 8th in the table. Atlético Tucumán have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Last 5 matches

Barracas Central

Atlético Tucumán

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Barracas Central

1/5

Atlético Tucumán

1/5

Both Teams to Score

Barracas Central

3/5

Atlético Tucumán

2/5

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Barracas Central

4/5

Atlético Tucumán

2/5

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Barracas Central

4/5

Atlético Tucumán

4/5

First Half Result

Barracas Central

2/5

Atlético Tucumán

2/5

Correct Score

Barracas Central

1/5

Atlético Tucumán

1/5

Last 5 Matchescorrect predictionwrong prediction

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Gimnasia La Plata – Atlético Tucumán prediction & betting tips (Oct 9, 2026).