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Silkeborg vs Midtjylland 3-3 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 9)

Fair result
SilkeborgSilkeborg

3–3

MidtjyllandMidtjylland
1.8Chances (xG)1.2

On these chances Silkeborg would usually take 1.8 points and Midtjylland 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: Midtjylland.

Silkeborg −0.8 pts vs chancesMidtjylland 0.0 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Silkeborg vs Midtjylland stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Level on shots on target

Silkeborg

Midtjylland

6

Shots on target

7

2

Big chances

2

4

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

3

58%

Possession

42%

The match between Silkeborg and Midtjylland ended 3-3. Our AI model predicted an Midtjylland win at 43% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OB – Silkeborg prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Silkeborg vs Midtjylland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Midtjylland to win

Wrong
Our model 43%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 3,602 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.4% of the time (bookmakers said 47.0%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 55%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 51%Bookmakers 57%

Our track record

In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 72%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 4,543 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 70–75% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 72.2% of the time (bookmakers said 71.4%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Correct
Our model 43%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Silkeborg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Silkeborg 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 68%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 2,667 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 69.1% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Midtjylland Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Midtjylland 0–1 goals

Wrong

The bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Midtjylland 2+ goals.

Our model 57%Bookmakers 48%

Our track record

In 648 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 44.6% than to our 55–60%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Silkeborg vs Midtjylland 3-3 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Silkeborg vs Midtjylland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Denmark
SilkeborgSilkeborg3
MidtjyllandMidtjylland3

Winner

X2 69%

BTTS*

Yes 55%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 51%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 62%

Full Time

131%
X26%
243%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT25%75%49%51%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT62%38%84%16%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Silkeborg34%66%68%32%
Midtjylland25%75%57%43%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Silkeborg0%0%0%0%
Midtjylland0%0%0%0%

1st Half

125%
X43%
233%

1st Score

141%
X7%
252%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

25%

1-1

17%

X-X

15%

X-2

15%

X-1

11%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

12.3%

0-1

10.0%

1-2

8.9%

1-0

7.9%

0-2

7.6%

2-1

7.2%

0-0

6.7%

2-2

5.4%

2-0

4.7%

1-3

4.5%

0-3

3.7%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OB – Silkeborg prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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