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Midtjylland vs OB 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 10)

Fair result
MidtjyllandMidtjylland

4–2

OBOB
2.3Chances (xG)2.4

On these chances Midtjylland would usually take 1.4 points and OB 1.5; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Midtjylland.

Midtjylland +1.7 pts vs chancesOB −1.5 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Midtjylland vs OB stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Midtjylland had clearly more shots on target

Midtjylland

OB

8

Shots on target

5

2

Big chances

1

7

Corners

3

1

Yellow cards

1

38%

Possession

62%

The match between Midtjylland and OB ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Midtjylland win with 58% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OB – Silkeborg prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

Midtjylland vs OB — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Midtjylland to win

Correct
Our model 58%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,805 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.4% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 6,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct
Our model 56%Bookmakers 68%

Our track record

In 5,306 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.5% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 67%Bookmakers 52%

Our track record

In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Midtjylland ahead at half-time

Correct
Our model 44%Bookmakers 42%

Our track record

In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).

Midtjylland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Midtjylland 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 54%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,799 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 59.6% of the time (bookmakers said 58.7%).

OB Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

OB 0–1 goals

Wrong
Our model 75%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 2,569 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 74.7% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Midtjylland vs OB 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Midtjylland vs OB. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Denmark
MidtjyllandMidtjylland4
OBOB2

Winner

1 58%

BTTS*

Yes 54%

Correct Score

1-1 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 56%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 57%

Full Time

158%
X22%
220%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT22%78%44%56%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT57%43%80%20%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Midtjylland17%83%46%54%
OB43%57%75%25%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Midtjylland0%0%0%0%
OB0%0%0%0%

1st Half

144%
X38%
218%

1st Score

163%
X6%
231%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

38%

X-1

18%

X-X

12%

2-2

9%

X-2

7%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

10.8%

1-0

10.1%

2-1

9.8%

2-0

9.5%

3-1

6.0%

3-0

5.8%

0-1

5.8%

0-0

5.8%

1-2

5.5%

2-2

5.2%

3-2

3.2%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: OB – Silkeborg prediction & betting tips (Nov 1, 2026).

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