AaB vs Silkeborg 0-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 10)
0–1
On these chances AaB would usually take 1.0 points and Silkeborg 1.8; they took 0 and 3. Bookmakers' favourite: AaB.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →AaB vs Silkeborg stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Silkeborg had clearly more shots on target
AaB
Silkeborg
4
Shots on target
7
1
Big chances
3
7
Corners
5
1
Yellow cards
0
41%
Possession
59%
AaB vs Silkeborg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Silkeborg to win
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AaB to win.
Our track record
In 1,519 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 28.4% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 29.5% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
WrongOur track record
In 5,708 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 56.8% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,148 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,964 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.2% of the time (bookmakers said 66.7%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectOur track record
In 6,632 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 44.4% of the time (bookmakers said 44.1%).
Our model’s pick
AaB 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: AaB 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 395 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.9% than to our 60–65%.
Our model’s pick
Silkeborg 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,642 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.4% of the time (bookmakers said 63.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
AaB vs Silkeborg 0-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for AaB vs Silkeborg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 24% | 76% | 48% | 52% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 60% | 40% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29% | 71% | 62% | 38% | |
| 28% | 72% | 61% | 39% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
21%
2-2
21%
X-X
16%
X-1
13%
X-2
13%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
2%
Correct Score
1-1
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-2
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score