FC Copenhagen vs Randers 1-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2022/2023 (Round 10)
FC Copenhagen drew despite more chances
1–1
On these chances FC Copenhagen would usually take 1.9 points and Randers 1.0; they took 1 and 1. Bookmakers' favourite: FC Copenhagen.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →FC Copenhagen vs Randers stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Level on shots on target
FC Copenhagen
Randers
9
Shots on target
8
5
Big chances
2
11
Corners
5
2
Yellow cards
1
54%
Possession
47%
FC Copenhagen vs Randers — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
FC Copenhagen to win
WrongOur track record
In 1,065 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 66.7% of the time (bookmakers said 66.3%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 6,479 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 5,147 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 57.1% of the time (bookmakers said 56.5%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.
Our track record
In 127 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 49.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.4% than to our 65–70%.
Our model’s pick
FC Copenhagen ahead at half-time
WrongOur track record
In 1,252 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.0% of the time (bookmakers said 51.7%).
Our model’s pick
FC Copenhagen 2+ goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,466 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.8% of the time (bookmakers said 61.2%).
Our model’s pick
Randers 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 1,482 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 79.0% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
FC Copenhagen vs Randers 1-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for FC Copenhagen vs Randers. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Winner
1 62%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 46% | 54% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 58% | 42% | 80% | 20% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | 84% | 43% | 57% | |
| 49% | 51% | 80% | 20% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
45%
X-1
19%
X-X
11%
2-2
7%
1-X
5%
X-2
5%
2-1
4%
2-X
4%
1-2
1%
Correct Score
1-0
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score