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Nordsjælland vs Silkeborg 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)

Fair result
NordsjællandNordsjælland

1–0

SilkeborgSilkeborg
2.3Chances (xG)0.2

On these chances Nordsjælland would usually take 2.7 points and Silkeborg 0.2; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nordsjælland.

Nordsjælland +0.3 pts vs chancesSilkeborg −0.2 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nordsjælland vs Silkeborg stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nordsjælland had more than twice the shots on target

Nordsjælland

Silkeborg

7

Shots on target

0

5

Big chances

0

8

Corners

1

2

Yellow cards

2

54%

Possession

46%

The match between Nordsjælland and Silkeborg ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Nordsjælland win with 69% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lyngby – Nordsjælland prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Nordsjælland vs Silkeborg — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland to win

Correct
Our model 69%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 616 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 70.5% of the time (bookmakers said 70.8%).

Both Teams to Score →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

No, not both

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Yes, both score.

Our model 50%Bookmakers 38%

Our track record

In 3,139 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.5% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 50–55%.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 60%Bookmakers 71%

Our track record

In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Over 3.5 goals.

Our model 62%Bookmakers 50%

Our track record

In 247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 47.1% than to our 60–65%.

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 54%Bookmakers 54%

Our track record

In 1,249 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 54.1% of the time (bookmakers said 51.8%).

Nordsjælland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland 2+ goals

Wrong
Our model 65%Bookmakers 74%

Our track record

In 2,712 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.9% of the time (bookmakers said 67.6%).

Silkeborg Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Silkeborg 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 83%Bookmakers 72%

Our track record

In 1,503 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 80–85% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 78.8% of the time (bookmakers said 80.6%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nordsjælland vs Silkeborg 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nordsjælland vs Silkeborg. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Superliga - Denmark
NordsjællandNordsjælland1
SilkeborgSilkeborg0

Winner

1 69%

BTTS*

No 50%

Correct Score

2-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 60%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 52%

Full Time

169%
X19%
212%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT19%81%40%60%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT52%48%73%27%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nordsjælland12%88%35%65%
Silkeborg55%45%83%17%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nordsjælland61%39%79%21%
Silkeborg96%4%99%1%

1st Half

154%
X33%
213%

1st Score

173%
X5%
222%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

51%

X-1

20%

X-X

9%

2-2

6%

X-2

4%

2-1

4%

1-X

3%

2-X

3%

1-2

1%

Correct Score

2-0

10.9%

1-0

10.2%

2-1

9.6%

1-1

8.3%

3-0

8.1%

3-1

6.4%

0-0

5.1%

2-2

4.2%

0-1

3.8%

1-2

3.6%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lyngby – Nordsjælland prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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