1. Nordsjælland vs AGF

Nordsjælland vs AGF 2-0 Score & Prediction Review

Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 8)

Fair result
NordsjællandNordsjælland

2–0

AGFAGF
1.6Chances (xG)1.1

On these chances Nordsjælland would usually take 1.7 points and AGF 1.1; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nordsjælland.

Nordsjælland +1.3 pts vs chancesAGF −1.1 pts vs chances

Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model

How it works

Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.

Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.

Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.

How we measure →

Nordsjælland vs AGF stats: how the match was played

Superliga

Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.

Nordsjælland had clearly more shots on target

Nordsjælland

AGF

3

Shots on target

2

3

Big chances

2

2

Corners

4

2

Yellow cards

2

53%

Possession

47%

The match between Nordsjælland and AGF ended 2-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Nordsjælland win with 64% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lyngby – Nordsjælland prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

Nordsjælland vs AGF — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · Superliga

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months
Full-Time Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland to win

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 55%

Our track record

In 1,062 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 67.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.4%).

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Wrong
Our model 53%Bookmakers 63%

Our track record

In 6,501 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 55.3% of the time (bookmakers said 55.0%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Wrong
Our model 58%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 5,337 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 59.1%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct
Our model 64%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland ahead at half-time

Wrong
Our model 47%Bookmakers 41%

Our track record

In 4,247 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.8% of the time (bookmakers said 47.3%).

Nordsjælland Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Nordsjælland 2+ goals

Correct
Our model 61%Bookmakers 58%

Our track record

In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).

AGF Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

AGF 0–1 goals

Correct
Our model 80%Bookmakers 62%

Our track record

In 2,600 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 75–80% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 75.2% of the time (bookmakers said 76.4%).

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Nordsjælland vs AGF 2-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Nordsjælland vs AGF. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
NordsjællandNordsjælland2
AGFAGF0

Winner

1 64%

BTTS*

Yes 53%

Correct Score

1-0 11%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 58%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 54%

Full Time

164%
X21%
215%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT21%79%42%58%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT54%46%77%23%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Nordsjælland14%86%39%61%
AGF50%50%80%20%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Nordsjælland66%34%84%16%
AGF94%6%98%2%

1st Half

147%
X35%
218%

1st Score

163%
X6%
232%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

42%

X-1

18%

X-X

11%

2-2

8%

X-2

6%

2-1

5%

1-X

4%

2-X

4%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-0

10.7%

2-0

10.3%

2-1

10.2%

1-1

9.5%

3-0

7.2%

3-1

6.3%

0-0

5.5%

2-2

4.6%

0-1

4.3%

1-2

4.0%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Lyngby – Nordsjælland prediction & betting tips (Oct 18, 2026).

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