Viborg vs Nordsjælland 4-1 Score & Prediction Review
Superliga - Season 2026/2027 (Round 9)
Viborg4–1
NordsjællandOn these chances Viborg would usually take 2.0 points and Nordsjælland 0.8; they took 3 and 0. Bookmakers' favourite: Nordsjælland.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Chances (xG): every shot gets a value for how likely it was to go in, and we add them up (our own model). Points their chances were worth: how many points teams usually get from chances like these.
Smash-and-grab: the winner created at least 0.8 xG less than the loser. Robbed: a draw where one side created at least 0.8 xG more. Anything else is a fair result. No verdict after extra time or when there's no xG.
Can you trust it? In these games, SportMonks' own xG agreed on who created more in 95% of the wins and 98% of the draws, and Flashscore agreed in 16 of the 20 games we checked by hand.
How we measure →Viborg vs Nordsjælland stats: how the match was played
Superliga
Whether the result matched the chances each side created, measured with our own xG.
Viborg had more than twice the shots on target
Viborg
Nordsjælland
6
Shots on target
2
5
Big chances
2
4
Corners
5
0
Yellow cards
2
48%
Possession
52%
Viborg vs Nordsjælland — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · Superliga
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Nordsjælland to win
WrongOur track record
In 3,626 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 47.0% of the time (bookmakers said 46.9%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectOur track record
In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,115 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 61.5% of the time (bookmakers said 62.6%).
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
WrongOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Nordsjælland ahead at half-time
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Draw at half-time.
Our track record
In 2,232 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 40–45% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 37.3% than to our 40–45%.
Our model’s pick
Viborg 0–1 goals
WrongOur track record
In 3,463 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.8% of the time (bookmakers said 63.9%).
Our model’s pick
Nordsjælland 0–1 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Nordsjælland 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Viborg vs Nordsjælland 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Viborg vs Nordsjælland. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Viborg4
Nordsjælland1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Viborg4Nordsjælland1Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 62%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 62% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 61% | 39% |
| 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84% | 16% | 94% | 6% |
| 76% | 24% | 91% | 9% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
2-2
31%
1-1
17%
X-2
13%
X-X
12%
X-1
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
4%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.2%
0-0
4.5%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Viborg vs Nordsjælland — Recent Form
Viborg have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3rd in the table. Nordsjælland have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 4th in the table.
Last 5 matches
ViborgNordsjællandOur prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
NordsjællandViborgBoth Teams to Score
NordsjællandViborgOver/Under 2.5 Goals
NordsjællandViborgOver/Under 3.5 Goals
NordsjællandViborgFirst Half Result
NordsjællandViborgCorrect Score
NordsjællandViborg