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Montenegro vs Cyprus 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League C (Group Stage) (Round 1)
Montenegro vs Cyprus — Our Model vs the Bookmakers
Market check · UEFA Nations League
How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.
How to read it
Our model’s pick
Montenegro to win
CorrectOur track record
In 3,513 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 49.3% of the time (bookmakers said 50.5%).
Our model’s pick
Yes, both score
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: No, not both.
Our track record
In 559 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 44.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.8% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Over 2.5 goals
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Under 2.5 goals.
Our track record
In 817 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 46.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 46.4% than to our 55–60%.
Our model’s pick
Under 3.5 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 2,403 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 63.6% of the time (bookmakers said 62.8%).
Our model’s pick
Draw at half-time
CorrectThe bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Montenegro ahead at half-time.
Our track record
In 1,233 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 36.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 35.1% than to our 35–40%.
Our model’s pick
Montenegro 0–1 goals
WrongThe bookmakers’ favourite was correct: Montenegro 2+ goals.
Our track record
In 1,869 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 41.9% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 43.7% than to our 50–55%.
Our model’s pick
Cyprus 0–1 goals
CorrectOur track record
In 3,280 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.3% of the time (bookmakers said 67.7%).
Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.
Montenegro vs Cyprus 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Montenegro vs Cyprus. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
Montenegro2
Cyprus1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Montenegro2Cyprus1Winner
1X 71%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 59%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 20% | 80% | 41% | 59% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 53% | 47% | 78% | 22% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22% | 78% | 51% | 49% |
 | 34% | 66% | 66% | 34% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
29%
2-2
19%
X-X
14%
X-1
13%
X-2
10%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
2-1
3%
1-2
2%
Correct Score
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Montenegro vs Cyprus — Recent Form
Our prediction record
Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.
Full-Time Result
CyprusMontenegroBoth Teams to Score
CyprusMontenegroOver/Under 2.5 Goals
CyprusMontenegroOver/Under 3.5 Goals
CyprusMontenegroFirst Half Result
CyprusMontenegroCorrect Score
CyprusMontenegro