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Norway vs Portugal

Norway vs Portugal 1-2 Score & Prediction Review

UEFA Nations League - Season 2026/2027 League A (Group Stage) (Round 2)

The match between Norway and Portugal ended 1-2. Our AI model correctly predicted an Portugal win with 45% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Norway vs Portugal — Our Model vs the Bookmakers

Market check · UEFA Nations League

How our model’s pick did in each market, next to the bookmakers’ last odds before kick-off (margin removed): what was correct, what was wrong, and how often our predictions like this one came true over the last 12 months.

How to read it

our model’s probabilitybookmakers’ probabilityAgreesDisagreesour model’s pick is / is not the bookmakers’ favouriteTrack record: finished matches from the last 12 months

Full-Time Result →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Portugal to win

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Norway to win.

Our model 45%Bookmakers 34%

Our track record

In 380 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 45–50% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 27.1% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 30.8% than to our 45–50%.

Both Teams to Score →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Yes, both score

Correct

Our model 64%Bookmakers 66%

Our track record

In 2,480 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 60–65% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 62.5% of the time (bookmakers said 61.6%).

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Over 2.5 goals

Correct

Our model 67%Bookmakers 65%

Our track record

In 1,157 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 65–70% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 68.0% of the time (bookmakers said 66.8%).

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Under 3.5 goals

Correct

Our model 55%Bookmakers 56%

Our track record

In 286 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 58.4% of the time (bookmakers said 57.8%).

First Half Result →Agrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Draw at half-time

Wrong

Our model 38%Bookmakers 37%

Our track record

In 2,043 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 35–40% chance and the bookmakers agreed, it came true 40.3% of the time (bookmakers said 41.2%).

Norway Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Norway 0–1 goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Norway 2+ goals.

Our model 58%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 1,027 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 55–60% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 43.0% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 45.1% than to our 55–60%.

Portugal Goals →Disagrees with bookmakers

Our model’s pick

Portugal 2+ goals

Correct

The bookmakers’ favourite was wrong: Portugal 0–1 goals.

Our model 51%Bookmakers 46%

Our track record

In 848 matches over the last 12 months where our model gave the same pick a 50–55% chance but the bookmakers favoured a different outcome, it came true 42.6% of the time: closer to the bookmakers’ 42.6% than to our 50–55%.

Odds: the last ones before kick-off. Picks are marked on the result after 90 minutes. The track record uses closing odds.

Norway vs Portugal 1-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Norway vs Portugal. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT

UEFA Nations League - Europe

Norway1

Portugal2

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

· FT

UEFA Nations League - Europe

Norway1

Portugal2

Winner

X2 66%

BTTS*

Yes 64%

Correct Score

1-2 09%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 67%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

over 55%

Full Time

134%

X21%

245%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%	45%	55%	70%	30%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	15%	85%	33%	67%

	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
FT	45%	55%	70%	30%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	30%	70%	58%	42%	79%	21%	91%	9%
	23%	77%	49%	51%	73%	27%	88%	12%

Team Goals Over/Under

	<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
	30%	70%	58%	42%
	23%	77%	49%	51%

	<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
	79%	21%	91%	9%
	73%	27%	88%	12%

1st Half

127%

X38%

234%

1st Score

143%

X4%

254%

Half Time/Full Time

2-2

28%

1-1

20%

X-X

13%

X-2

13%

X-1

12%

2-X

1-X

1-2

2-1

Correct Score

1-2

8.8%

1-1

8.6%

2-1

6.9%

0-1

6.1%

2-2

6.1%

0-2

5.7%

1-0

5.3%

1-3

5.2%

2-3

4.4%

3-1

3.7%

0-3

3.7%

0-0

3.5%

2-0

3.5%

3-2

3.5%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Norway vs Portugal — Recent Form

Our prediction record

Our last 5 predictions in each team’s matches, by market.

Full-Time Result

Portugal

2/3

Norway

2/3

Both Teams to Score

Portugal

3/3

Norway

3/3

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Portugal

2/3

Norway

3/3

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Portugal

2/3

Norway

2/3

First Half Result

Portugal

1/3

Norway

2/3

Correct Score

Portugal

2/3

Norway

1/3

correct predictionwrong prediction