United States vs Paraguay 4-1 Score & Prediction Review
World Cup - Season 2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
United States vs Paraguay — World Cup Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 1 · Group Stage
Full-Time Result →
United States+98.8% Strongly above implied probability
Paraguay-33.8% Below implied probability
┊ 50.3% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
United States+22.4% Strongly above implied probability
Paraguay+22.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.5% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
United States+21.9% Strongly above implied probability
Paraguay+21.9% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
United States-47.2% Below implied probability
Paraguay+5.7% Above implied probability
┊ 63.1% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
United States-15.5% Below implied probability
Paraguay-100% Below implied probability
┊ 39.4% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
United StatesParaguayOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for United States and Paraguay across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for United States hit at 100% accuracy — that's 98.8% above the bookmaker baseline of 50.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Paraguay sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
United States vs Paraguay 4-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for United States vs Paraguay. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 46% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 14% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 2% |
| 1 | 55% | |
| X | 7% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24% | 76% | 56% | 45% |
 | 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 46% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 28% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 84% | 16% |
| 1 | 36% | |
| X | 44% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 14% | 5% | 11% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 16% | 2% |
| 1 | 55% | |
| X | 7% | |
| 2 | 38% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24% | 76% | 56% | 45% |
| 37% | 63% | 70% | 30% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 80% | 20% | 93% | 7% |
| 90% | 10% | 97% | 3% |
| 1-1 | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
United States vs Paraguay — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading United States well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
United StatesParaguayBoth Teams To Score
United StatesParaguayOver/Under 2.5 Goals
United StatesParaguayOver/Under 3.5 Goals
United StatesParaguayFirst Half Result
United StatesParaguayCorrect Score
United StatesParaguay