England vs Croatia 4-2 Score & Prediction Review
World Cup - Season 2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 1)
England vs Croatia — World Cup Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 1 · Group Stage
Full-Time Result →
+96.1% Strongly above implied probability
-2% Near implied probability
┊ 51% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-8.3% Near implied probability
+83.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.5% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-8.8% Near implied probability
+82.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
-20% Below implied probability
-20% Below implied probability
┊ 62.5% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for England and Croatia across 5 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Croatia hit at 100% accuracy — that's 96.1% above the bookmaker baseline of 51%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Croatia sit 20% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
England vs Croatia 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for England vs Croatia. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 49% | 51% | |
| 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 48% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 29% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 40% | 60% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 52% | 48% | 77% | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 49% | 51% | |
| 33% | 67% | 65% | 35% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 75% | 25% | 90% | 10% | |
| 86% | 14% | 95% | 5% |
| 1-1 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score

