Ecuador vs Germany 2-1 Score & Prediction Review
World Cup - Season 2026 Group Stage (Group Stage) (Round 3)
Ecuador vs Germany — World Cup Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round 3 · Group Stage
Full-Time Result →
+30.3% Strongly above implied probability
-35% Below implied probability
┊ 51.2% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
-38.9% Below implied probability
+22.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.5% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
+21.7% Strongly above implied probability
+21.7% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.8% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+7.1% Above implied probability
+60.5% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 62.3% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Ecuador and Germany across 5 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Ecuador hit at 100% accuracy — that's 60.5% above the bookmaker baseline of 62.3%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Germany sit 38.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Ecuador vs Germany 2-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Ecuador vs Germany. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 18% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 59% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 82% | 18% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48% | 52% | 80% | 20% | |
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% | |
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 2-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| 1 | 18% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 59% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 25% | 75% | 49% | 51% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 61% | 39% | 82% | 18% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48% | 52% | 80% | 20% | |
| 17% | 83% | 46% | 54% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 94% | 6% | 99% | 1% | |
| 73% | 27% | 89% | 11% |
| 0-1 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Ecuador vs Germany — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Ecuador well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

