Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín 1-0 Score & Prediction Review

Copa Sudamericana - Season 2026 Knockout Round Play-offs (Knock Out)

The match between Vasco da Gama and Independiente Medellín ended 1-0. Our AI model correctly predicted a Vasco da Gama win with 49% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result & Over/Under 3.5 Goals.

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín — Copa Sudamericana Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Knockout Round Play-offs

Full-Time Result

42.9% implied

Vasco da Gama40%4/10-6.8%Near implied probability
Independiente Medellín50%1/2+16.6%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Vasco da Gama40%4/10-26.5%Below implied probability
Independiente Medellín0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Vasco da Gama20%2/10-63%Below implied probability
Independiente Medellín0%0/2-100%Below implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.8% implied

Vasco da Gama70%7/10+15.1%Strongly above implied probability
Independiente Medellín50%1/2-17.8%Below implied probability

First Half Result

38% implied

Vasco da Gama30%3/10-21.1%Below implied probability
Independiente Medellín50%1/2+31.6%Strongly above implied probability
Vasco da Gama0%0/10
Independiente Medellín0%0/2

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Vasco da Gama and Independiente Medellín across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Independiente Medellín hit at 50% accuracy — that's 31.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 38%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Independiente Medellín sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín 1-0 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama1
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín0

Winner

1X 73%

BTTS**

Yes 56%

Correct Score

1-1 12%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 53%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 59%

Full Time

149%
X25%
227%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT23%77%47%53%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT59%41%82%18%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Vasco da Gama22%78%53%47%
Independiente Medellín37%63%70%30%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Vasco da Gama78%22%92%8%
Independiente Medellín89%11%97%3%

1st Half

136%
X44%
220%

1st Score

155%
X6%
239%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

30%

X-1

18%

X-X

16%

2-2

12%

X-2

9%

1-X

5%

2-X

5%

2-1

3%

1-2

2%

Correct Score

1-1

11.7%

1-0

10.1%

2-1

9.6%

2-0

7.9%

0-1

7.0%

1-2

6.8%

0-0

6.4%

2-2

5.3%

3-1

5.1%

3-0

4.5%

0-2

3.8%

3-2

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellín — Prediction Form & Streaks

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
1 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
1 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
Vasco da GamaVasco da Gama
0 in a row
Independiente MedellínIndependiente Medellín
0 in a row
correct predictionincorrect

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