Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage 5-1 Score & Prediction Review
League One - Season 2025/2026 (Round 40)
Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage — League One Prediction Accuracy
Season 2025/2026 · Round 40 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result →
+11.2% Strongly above implied probability
+8.4% Above implied probability
┊ 43.9% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
+15.9% Strongly above implied probability
+1.1% Above implied probability
┊ 54.2% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
-9.1% Near implied probability
-2.4% Near implied probability
┊ 53.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
+24.1% Strongly above implied probability
+31.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.8% Implied Probability
First Half Result →
-21.4% Below implied probability
+67.4% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 38.4% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Bolton Wanderers and Stevenage across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
First Half Result predictions for Stevenage hit at 64% accuracy — that's 67.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, First Half Result predictions for Bolton Wanderers sit 21.4% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage 5-1 — How Our Predictions Performed
The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.
| 1 | 55% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
| 1 | 40% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 61% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% | |
| 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 55% | |
| X | 25% | |
| 2 | 20% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 29% | 71% | 55% | 45% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 66% | 34% | 86% | 14% |
| 1 | 40% | |
| X | 42% | |
| 2 | 18% |
| 1-1 | 1-X | X-1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36% | 5% | 18% | |
| 2-2 | 2-X | X-2 | |
| 9% | 5% | 8% | |
| 1-2 | X-X | 2-1 | |
| 2% | 15% | 3% |
| 1 | 61% | |
| X | 9% | |
| 2 | 31% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21% | 79% | 52% | 48% | |
| 46% | 54% | 80% | 20% | |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 78% | 22% | 92% | 8% | |
| 95% | 5% | 99% | 1% |
| 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Bolton Wanderers vs Stevenage — Prediction Form & Streaks
Stevenage have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Bolton Wanderers have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 3th in the table.