Brick wall
7/10Bradford City kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 (league 27%).
League One Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming League One match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities.
Predictions updated on 24 October 2026.
League One Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 12 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
41%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
42%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
50%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
70%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
45%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
9%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
League One 2026/2027 prediction accuracy over the last 100 matches: 1X2 41%, BTTS 42%, Over/Under 2.5 50%, Over/Under 3.5 70%, correct score 9%.
League One stats: goals, BTTS, corners and cards vs other leagues
How this competition ranks among the leagues and cups we cover for goals, chances (xG), corners and cards.
How to read it
last 12 months · 534 matchesrank 1 = highest of 63 competitionsCorner-heavy
Goals a match
2.71
34th of 63
xG a match
2.62
49th of 62
Corners a match
10.3
10th of 62
Cards a match
3.85
44th of 63
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
We use the league's matches from the last 12 months, without qualifying rounds, and rank it against the 63 leagues and club competitions with 50 or more matches in that time (1 = highest). A label marks a league in the top fifth on goals, home or away wins, draws, cards or corners, or in the bottom fifth on goals. xG is our estimate of each match's chances from its shots.
League One: the stats that stand out
The League One teams most unusual in their last 10 games.
How to read it
the teamleague averageeach team's last 10 games7/10Always chasing
9/10Notts County conceded first in 9 of 10 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Fast starters
8/9Oxford United scored first in 8 of 9 recent matches with goal times (league 46%).
Shot-shy
6/10Wigan Athletic failed to score in 6 of their last 10 (league 27%).
Goals at both ends
9/10Cambridge United: both teams scored in 9 of their last 10 (league 54%).
Low-scoring
3/10Leyton Orient games went over 2.5 goals in only 3 of their last 10 (league 53%).
Banker as favourites
6/9Stockport County won 6 of 9 as favourites (league 50%).
Calculated by MyGameOdds
How it works
For each stat we show the club that stands out most, one club per stat. A fact needs at least 6 games and a result far enough from the league average to be unusual (at least one standard deviation).
How we measure →Today's Betting Tips for League One England
Free predictions for today's League One matches: 1X2, both teams to score, over/under and correct score.
· FT
Blackpool2
Milton Keynes Dons0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Blackpool2Milton Keynes Dons0Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
135%
X27%
238%
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 31% | 69% | 65% | 35% |
 | 29% | 71% | 63% | 37% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 63% | 37% |
Correct Score
1-1
12.7%
0-1
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
0-0
7.7%
0-2
6.7%
· FT
AFC Wimbledon0
Mansfield Town3Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
AFC Wimbledon0Mansfield Town3Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
· FT
Stevenage3
Plymouth Argyle0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Stevenage3Plymouth Argyle0Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
· FT
Oxford United2
Wigan Athletic1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Oxford United2Wigan Athletic1Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
· FT
Notts County2
Sheffield Wednesday0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Notts County2Sheffield Wednesday0Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 57%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
· FT
Luton Town2
Barnsley1Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
Luton Town2Barnsley1Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-0 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 55%
· FT
Huddersfield Town4
Peterborough United1Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Huddersfield Town4Peterborough United1Winner
1 59%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
· FT
Doncaster Rovers0
Stockport County2Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Doncaster Rovers0Stockport County2Winner
X2 73%
BTTS*
No 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
· FT
Cambridge United2
Wycombe Wanderers2Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Cambridge United2Wycombe Wanderers2Winner
1X 74%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Burton Albion0
Bradford City0Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Burton Albion0Bradford City0Winner
X2 70%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
· FT
Bromley0
Leicester City4Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bromley0Leicester City4Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
· FT
Reading1
Leyton Orient0Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Reading1Leyton Orient0Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Luton Town–Leicester City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Luton Town–Leicester City–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Huddersfield Town–Wigan Athletic–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Huddersfield Town–Wigan Athletic–Winner
1 63%
BTTS*
No 55%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Stevenage–Milton Keynes Dons–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Stevenage–Milton Keynes Dons–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Notts County–Stockport County–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Notts County–Stockport County–Winner
2 50%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Doncaster Rovers–Sheffield Wednesday–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Doncaster Rovers–Sheffield Wednesday–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 66%
Reading–Barnsley–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Reading–Barnsley–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Oxford United–Bradford City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Oxford United–Bradford City–Winner
12 73%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bromley–Peterborough United–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Bromley–Peterborough United–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Blackpool–Mansfield Town–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Blackpool–Mansfield Town–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Cambridge United–Plymouth Argyle–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Cambridge United–Plymouth Argyle–Winner
12 74%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Burton Albion–Leyton Orient–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Burton Albion–Leyton Orient–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
AFC Wimbledon–Wycombe Wanderers–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
AFC Wimbledon–Wycombe Wanderers–Winner
X2 68%
BTTS*
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Oxford United–Stockport County–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Oxford United–Stockport County–Winner
X2 72%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Milton Keynes Dons–Bromley–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Milton Keynes Dons–Bromley–Winner
1 58%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Leicester City–Wigan Athletic–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Leicester City–Wigan Athletic–Winner
1 55%
BTTS*
Yes 57%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Sheffield Wednesday–Cambridge United–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Sheffield Wednesday–Cambridge United–Winner
12 71%
BTTS*
No 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 68%
Luton Town–Doncaster Rovers–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Luton Town–Doncaster Rovers–Winner
1 57%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-0 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Plymouth Argyle–Reading–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Plymouth Argyle–Reading–Winner
12 75%
BTTS*
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Leyton Orient–Cambridge United–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Leyton Orient–Cambridge United–Winner
X2 69%
BTTS*
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Bradford City–Huddersfield Town–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Bradford City–Huddersfield Town–Winner
1X 68%
BTTS*
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Wycombe Wanderers–Burton Albion–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Wycombe Wanderers–Burton Albion–Winner
1 54%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Wigan Athletic–Bromley–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Wigan Athletic–Bromley–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS*
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Milton Keynes Dons–Doncaster Rovers–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Milton Keynes Dons–Doncaster Rovers–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS*
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
League One xG: chances created and allowed
Every League One team's chances created and allowed a game, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
each logo is a team · tap one for detailseach logo is a team · hover one for detailsLeague One average · 1.41 xG, 1.41 xGAlast 10 games eachTap a logo to see the team's numbers
↑ Fewer chances allowed (xGA a game)
More chances created (xG a game) →
Teams by box· 24
Good attack, good defence
Good attack, weak defence
Weak attack, good defence
Weak attack, weak defence
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
xG is our estimate of how many goals a team's chances were worth, from the shots in each match; xGA is the same for the chances it allowed. The dashed lines are the average of the teams shown. A team close to a line is about average. Teams with fewer than 5 games here aren't in the chart yet.
How we measure →League One Results vs the Odds
Season 2026/2027 and the last 30 days
How often each result has happened in League One this season (thick bar) and in the last 30 days (thin bar), next to what the bookmakers’ closing odds expected. The last 30 days cover fewer matches, so their normal range is wider and big swings there are still normal. This is not our prediction accuracy.
How to read it
what the closing odds expectednormal range: chance alone lands here 19 times in 20gap to the odds, in percentage pointsgap outside the normal rangethick bar: Season · thin bar: 30 days
Result · happened
◀ fewer −20◀ fewer than expected · −20 pts odds expected+20 more ▶+20 pts · more than expected ▶
Verdict
Home wins
126 matches
40.5%
Season (126) · 40.5% vs 43.7%
Season
−3.2
±8.4
30 days (43) · 51.2% vs 46.1%
30 days
+5.0
±14.2
Draws
126 matches
28.6%
Season (126) · 28.6% vs 25.8%
Season
+2.8
±7.6
30 days (43) · 20.9% vs 24.3%
30 days
−3.4
±12.8
Away wins
126 matches
31.0%
Season (126) · 31.0% vs 30.5%
Season
+0.4
±7.8
30 days (43) · 27.9% vs 29.6%
30 days
−1.7
±13.0
Over 2.5 goals
126 matches
54.0%
Season (126) · 54.0% vs 54.2%
Season
−0.3
±8.6
30 days (43) · 51.2% vs 56.9%
30 days
−5.8
±14.6
Both teams scored
126 matches
56.3%
Season (126) · 56.3% vs 56.4%
Season
0.0
±8.6
30 days (43) · 48.8% vs 56.7%
30 days
−7.9
±14.7
Show more markets (6)Show fewer markets
Over 3.5 goals
126 matches
31.7%
Season (126) · 31.7% vs 32.5%
Season
−0.8
±8.1
30 days (43) · 27.9% vs 35.3%
30 days
−7.3
±14.1
Home side ahead at half-time
126 matches
29.4%
Season (126) · 29.4% vs 33.6%
Season
−4.2
±8.1
30 days (43) · 30.2% vs 35.4%
30 days
−5.2
±14.0
Level at half-time
126 matches
42.1%
Season (126) · 42.1% vs 40.7%
Season
+1.4
±8.6
30 days (43) · 39.5% vs 39.3%
30 days
+0.2
±14.6
Away side ahead at half-time
126 matches
28.6%
Season (126) · 28.6% vs 25.7%
Season
+2.8
±7.5
30 days (43) · 30.2% vs 25.2%
30 days
+5.0
±12.7
Home team scored 2+
126 matches
44.4%
Season (126) · 44.4% vs 46.0%
Season
−1.6
±8.5
30 days (43) · 44.2% vs 49.2%
30 days
−5.0
±14.4
Away team scored 2+
126 matches
37.3%
Season (126) · 37.3% vs 36.2%
Season
+1.1
±8.2
30 days (43) · 34.9% vs 36.1%
30 days
−1.3
±14.0
Shows what happened, not what comes next. Closing odds from one bookmaker per match, bookmaker margin removed. Updated daily.
Show as a tableHide the table
| Result | Period | Matches | Happened | Odds expected | Gap (pts) | Normal range (± pts) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home wins | Season | 126 | 40.5% | 43.7% | −3.2 | ±8.4 | Normal range |
| Home wins | 30 days | 43 | 51.2% | 46.1% | +5.0 | ±14.2 | Normal range |
| Draws | Season | 126 | 28.6% | 25.8% | +2.8 | ±7.6 | Normal range |
| Draws | 30 days | 43 | 20.9% | 24.3% | −3.4 | ±12.8 | Normal range |
| Away wins | Season | 126 | 31.0% | 30.5% | +0.4 | ±7.8 | Normal range |
| Away wins | 30 days | 43 | 27.9% | 29.6% | −1.7 | ±13.0 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | Season | 126 | 54.0% | 54.2% | −0.3 | ±8.6 | Normal range |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30 days | 43 | 51.2% | 56.9% | −5.8 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | Season | 126 | 56.3% | 56.4% | 0.0 | ±8.6 | Normal range |
| Both teams scored | 30 days | 43 | 48.8% | 56.7% | −7.9 | ±14.7 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | Season | 126 | 31.7% | 32.5% | −0.8 | ±8.1 | Normal range |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30 days | 43 | 27.9% | 35.3% | −7.3 | ±14.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | Season | 126 | 29.4% | 33.6% | −4.2 | ±8.1 | Normal range |
| Home side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 43 | 30.2% | 35.4% | −5.2 | ±14.0 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | Season | 126 | 42.1% | 40.7% | +1.4 | ±8.6 | Normal range |
| Level at half-time | 30 days | 43 | 39.5% | 39.3% | +0.2 | ±14.6 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | Season | 126 | 28.6% | 25.7% | +2.8 | ±7.5 | Normal range |
| Away side ahead at half-time | 30 days | 43 | 30.2% | 25.2% | +5.0 | ±12.7 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | Season | 126 | 44.4% | 46.0% | −1.6 | ±8.5 | Normal range |
| Home team scored 2+ | 30 days | 43 | 44.2% | 49.2% | −5.0 | ±14.4 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | Season | 126 | 37.3% | 36.2% | +1.1 | ±8.2 | Normal range |
| Away team scored 2+ | 30 days | 43 | 34.9% | 36.1% | −1.3 | ±14.0 | Normal range |
League One luck check: the last 10 games
League One teams taking more or fewer points than their chances usually bring, measured with our own xG.
How to read it
what their chances usually bringnormal range (±4)outside it+6.2 = 6 points more than their chances usually bringRiding their luck1
- Oxford United9 of 10 gamesClinical · +6 goals+6.2
Unlucky3
BarnsleyWasteful · −9 goals−6.7- Wigan AthleticWasteful · −5 goals−4.0
Luton Town−4.0
Points in line, but wasteful: Peterborough United (−4 goals), Bradford City (−4), AFC Wimbledon (−4), Doncaster Rovers (−4), Huddersfield Town (−4). Clinical: Stevenage (+4), Burton Albion (+3), Wycombe Wanderers (+3).
In line with their chances: Cambridge United, Plymouth Argyle, Sheffield Wednesday, Blackpool, Leyton Orient, Bromley, Mansfield Town, Reading, Stockport County, Leicester City, Notts County and Milton Keynes Dons.
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
For each of a team's last 10 games, we work out how many points a team usually gets from a game with those chances (xG) for and against, add them up and compare with the points it actually got. We do the same for goals. Strong teams often get a bit more than their chances suggest, so we compare each team with sides of similar strength in this league. That way nobody is flagged just for being good.
We flag a team when the gap is 4 points or more (or 3 goals or more). If some games have no xG data, we use the ones that do.
Does it mean anything? 85% of teams 4+ points ahead of their chances got fewer points in their next 10 games, and 83% of teams 4+ points behind got more. Bookmakers already expect these gaps to even out, so it's a fan's read, not a betting edge.
How we measure →League One last week: smash-and-grab wins and upsets
Smash-and-grab wins (the side with clearly fewer chances won) and upsets (results the closing odds gave under 20%) from the last 7 days.
How to read it
Oct 16–Oct 23 · 23 matches · odds: closing, margin removed
Reading1-0Leyton OrientSmash-and-grabReading beat Leyton Orient 1-0 despite fewer chances (xG 1.0 vs 2.6).
- Barnsley1-2Cambridge United
Smash-and-grabCambridge United beat Barnsley 2-1 despite fewer chances (xG 1.3 vs 2.4).
Calculated by MyGameOdds · xG: our own model
How it works
Smash-and-grab: the winner had at least 0.8 less xG than the loser (our xG, from shots). Upset: the result the closing odds gave under 20%, with the bookmaker margin removed. Across our leagues about 6% of matches are smash-and-grab wins and about 5% are upsets.
How we measure →League One Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Stockport County | 11 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:11 | +12 | W W W W D |
2  Huddersfield Town | 11 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:10 | +12 | W W D W L |
3  Bradford City | 11 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 10:5 | +5 | D W D D W |
4  Cambridge United | 11 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 18:14 | +4 | D W W D D |
5  Plymouth Argyle | 12 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | +1 | L L W W L |
Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches
The league profile compares League One with the 63 leagues and cups we rank over the last 12 months (rank 1 = highest). The stats that stand out pick the most unusual numbers from each team's last 10 games. The attack vs defence chart puts each team in one of four boxes: top right creates more and allows fewer chances than the league average. The luck check shows who got more or fewer points than their chances in the last 10 games, and Last week lists wins with fewer chances and results the bookmakers gave under 20%.
These statistics represent prediction accuracy based on the last 100 matches in the league. Accuracy reflects how often the model correctly predicted the outcome for each market. Our football predictions are generated using advanced AI techniques combined with historical match data, team form, player availability and head-to-head records to deliver reliable forecasts. Explore our prediction results tracker for live accuracy across all completed matches, our league accuracy data for competition-level breakdowns, or prediction performance for team-level insights.
About League One
League One is the third tier of the English football league system. It is known for its competitive matches and provides a platform for clubs to develop young talent. Promising players often use League One as a stepping stone to higher divisions. The league features a mix of historic clubs and rising stars.