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Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara 2-2 Score & Prediction Review

Liga MX - Season 2025/2026

The match between Cruz Azul and Guadalajara ended 2-2. Our AI model predicted a Cruz Azul win at 51% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. Overall a solid read on this match, with 2 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara — Liga MX Prediction Accuracy

Season 2025/2026 · Clausura - Semi-finals

Full-Time Result →

Guadalajara

62.5%(25/40)

+42.4% Strongly above implied probability

Cruz Azul

48.8%(21/43)

+11.2% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 43.9% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score →

Guadalajara

52.5%(21/40)

-3.7% Near implied probability

Cruz Azul

62.8%(27/43)

+15.2% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 54.5% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals →

Guadalajara

57.5%(23/40)

+6.3% Above implied probability

Cruz Azul

58.1%(25/43)

+7.4% Above implied probability

┊ 54.1% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals →

Guadalajara

65%(26/40)

+8.3% Above implied probability

Cruz Azul

72.1%(31/43)

+20.2% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 60% Implied Probability

First Half Result →

Guadalajara

47.5%(19/40)

+24.7% Strongly above implied probability

Cruz Azul

46.5%(20/43)

+22% Strongly above implied probability

┊ 38.1% Implied Probability

Correct Score →

Guadalajara

0%(0/40)

Cruz Azul

20.9%(9/43)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Cruz Azul and Guadalajara across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

Full-Time Result predictions for Guadalajara hit at 63% accuracy — that's 42.4% above the bookmaker baseline of 43.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Both Teams To Score predictions for Guadalajara sit 3.7% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara 2-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time


1	51%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	36%
X	41%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
30%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	15%	4%

1st Score


1	54%
X	7%
2	39%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	51%	49%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
77%	23%	91%	9%
91%	9%	98%	2%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2	3-1	2-2	3-0	0-2
11.7%	10.9%	10.5%	8.8%	6.7%	6.5%	6.3%	5.2%	5.0%	4.9%	3.5%

Full Time


1	51%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	36%
X	41%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
30%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	15%	4%

1st Score


1	54%
X	7%
2	39%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	51%	49%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
77%	23%	91%	9%
91%	9%	98%	2%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
11.7%	10.9%	10.5%	8.8%	6.7%	6.5%	6.3%

Full Time


1	51%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	36%
X	41%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
30%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	15%	4%

1st Score


1	54%
X	7%
2	39%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	51%	49%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
77%	23%	91%	9%
91%	9%	98%	2%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2	3-1	2-2	3-0	0-2
11.7%	10.9%	10.5%	8.8%	6.7%	6.5%	6.3%	5.2%	5.0%	4.9%	3.5%

Full Time


1	51%
X	25%
2	24%

Goals Over/Under

	<1.5	>1.5	<2.5	>2.5
FT	24%	76%	48%	52%
	<3.5	>3.5	<4.5	>4.5
	61%	39%	83%	17%

1st Half


1	36%
X	41%
2	23%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1	1-X	X-1
30%	5%	18%
2-2	2-X	X-2
14%	5%	8%
1-2	X-X	2-1
2%	15%	4%

1st Score


1	54%
X	7%
2	39%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5	>0.5	<1.5	>1.5
20%	80%	51%	49%
40%	60%	74%	26%
<2.5	>2.5	<3.5	>3.5
77%	23%	91%	9%
91%	9%	98%	2%

Correct Score

1-1	1-0	2-1	2-0	0-1	0-0	1-2
11.7%	10.9%	10.5%	8.8%	6.7%	6.5%	6.3%

Guadalajara

0 in a row

Cruz Azul

0 in a row