Liga MX Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga MX match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Predictions updated on 16 August 2026.
Liga MX Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 4 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Both Teams To Score
61%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
60%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
68%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
First Half Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Correct Score
16%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Liga MX matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga MX currently hit at 16%.
First Half Result is our strongest Liga MX betting market this season with 44% prediction accuracy — that's 13.4% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.8%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga MX.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions currently sit 2% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 44%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Liga MX Full-Time Result bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga MX football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Liga MX Mexico
Monterrey6
Juárez1Winner
1 59%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Monterrey6Juárez1Winner
1 59%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
2-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 62%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15% | 85% | 41% | 59% |
 | 43% | 57% | 74% | 26% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 38% | 62% | 52% | 48% |
Correct Score
2-1
10.2%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
Atlas2
Tigres UANL1Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlas2Tigres UANL1Winner
X2 69%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Pumas UNAM–
Querétaro–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Pumas UNAM–Querétaro–Winner
1X 73%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
América–
Atlético San Luis–Winner
1 61%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
América–Atlético San Luis–Winner
1 61%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Santos Laguna–
Guadalajara–Winner
2 59%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Santos Laguna–Guadalajara–Winner
2 59%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
0-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Tijuana–
Cruz Azul–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Tijuana–Cruz Azul–Winner
X2 75%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
0-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Necaxa–
León–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Necaxa–León–Winner
1X 69%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 53%
Pachuca–
Puebla–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Pachuca–Puebla–Winner
1 55%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Tigres UANL–
Atlante–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Tigres UANL–Atlante–Winner
1 63%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Juárez–América–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Juárez–América–Winner
X2 77%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Querétaro–
Toluca–Winner
2 53%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Querétaro–Toluca–Winner
2 53%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 50%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 62%
Guadalajara–Tijuana–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Guadalajara–Tijuana–Winner
1 64%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
León–Monterrey–Winner
12 75%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
León–Monterrey–Winner
12 75%
BTTS**
Yes 61%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 58%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 54%
Puebla–Santos Laguna–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Puebla–Santos Laguna–Winner
1X 72%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Cruz Azul–Atlas–Winner
1 58%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Cruz Azul–Atlas–Winner
1 58%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Atlético San Luis–Pachuca–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Atlético San Luis–Pachuca–Winner
12 76%
BTTS**
Yes 63%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 60%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Pumas UNAM–Necaxa–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Pumas UNAM–Necaxa–Winner
1X 74%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 58%
Atlante–León–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Atlante–León–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 60%
Correct Score
1-1 10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 61%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 52%
Necaxa–Cruz Azul–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Necaxa–Cruz Azul–Winner
X2 74%
BTTS**
Yes 54%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Tijuana–Pumas UNAM–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Tijuana–Pumas UNAM–Winner
1X 70%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Pachuca–Guadalajara–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Pachuca–Guadalajara–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Atlas–Querétaro–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
Atlas–Querétaro–Winner
12 72%
BTTS**
No 50%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 67%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga MX Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Liga MX betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Santos Laguna leads First Half Result predictions with 100% accuracy (3 correct out of 3 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Liga MX bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Liga MX teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Liga MX Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Monterrey
Necaxa
Cruz AzulPrediction Form Streaks
MonterreyNecaxaJuárezLiga MX Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
AméricaNecaxaMonterreyPrediction Form Streaks
MonterreyJuárezAméricaLiga MX Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
MonterreyAméricaNecaxaPrediction Form Streaks
MonterreyAméricaNecaxaLiga MX Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
GuadalajaraAmérica
PueblaPrediction Form Streaks
Toluca
AtlanteGuadalajaraLiga MX First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Santos LagunaNecaxaTolucaPrediction Form Streaks
TolucaMonterreySantos LagunaLiga MX Teams in Best Form
Monterrey
AtlasAméricaLiga MX Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Monterrey | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | +7 | W W L W |
2  Atlas | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | W L W W |
3  América | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | +4 | W D W |
4  Toluca | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | D W L W |
5  Tijuana | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | D W W |
About Liga MX
Liga MX is the top professional football league in Mexico. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Liga MX is known for its passionate fan base and intense matches. Club América and Chivas de Guadalajara are the most successful clubs in Liga MX history.