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Liga MX Predictions & Stats

Liga MX is the top professional football league in Mexico. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Liga MX is known for its passionate fan base and intense matches. Club América and Chivas de Guadalajara are the most successful clubs in Liga MX history.

Liga MX Predictions by Market

Season 2025/2026 · Round 15 · Clausura

Full-Time Result

51%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

44% Implied Probability

+15.9% Strongly above implied probability

Low Edge

Both Teams To Score

60%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

54.2% Implied Probability

+10.7% Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

53.7% Implied Probability

+11.7% Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

71%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

61.6% Implied Probability

+15.3% Strongly above implied probability

Highest Edge

First Half Result

49%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

38.4% Implied Probability

+27.6% Strongly above implied probability

Correct Score

11%

SUCCESS RATE AVG.

Our AI model analyzes Liga MX matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 5 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga MX currently hit at 11%.

First Half Result is our strongest Liga MX betting market this season with 49% prediction accuracy — that's 27.6% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 38.4%. This means our AI model correctly predicts First Half Result outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga MX.

The remaining markets — Full-Time Result, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga MX football tips.

Full Time
142%
X29%
229%
Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714183222/mygameodds/teams/mgobxmhvvlo6awn5csyb.png logo28%72%63%37%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182505/mygameodds/teams/nntcseoya7tfhbaxowax.png logo39%61%72%28%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
FT57%43%68%32%
Correct Score
1-01-10-00-12-12-01-2
12.9%12.6%10.2%8.8%8.2%8.1%6.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Liga MX Prediction Accuracy by Team

The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Liga MX betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Tigres UANL leads First Half Result predictions with 60% accuracy (22 correct out of 37 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like First Half Result are especially worth watching for your next Liga MX bet.

The form table at the bottom highlights Liga MX teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.

Liga MX Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1GuadalajaraGuadalajara
67%(22/33)
2MonterreyMonterrey
66%(23/35)
3Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
61%(19/31)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
NecaxaNecaxa
3 in a row
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
2 in a row
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
1 in a row

Liga MX Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Tigres UANLTigres UANL
68%(25/37)
2Atlético San LuisAtlético San Luis
66%(21/32)
3NecaxaNecaxa
65%(20/31)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
5 in a row
JuárezJuárez
5 in a row
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
4 in a row

Liga MX Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1MazatlánMazatlán
66%(21/32)
2NecaxaNecaxa
65%(20/31)
3TijuanaTijuana
62%(21/34)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
5 in a row
QuerétaroQuerétaro
5 in a row
LeónLeón
5 in a row

Liga MX Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1PachucaPachuca
79%(26/33)
2LeónLeón
77%(24/31)
3AméricaAmérica
76%(25/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
AtlasAtlas
5 in a row
AméricaAmérica
5 in a row
PueblaPuebla
5 in a row

Liga MX First Half Result Predictions Accuracy

Top Predicted Teams

Prediction Accuracy
1Tigres UANLTigres UANL
60%(22/37)
2Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
55%(17/31)
3AméricaAmérica
52%(17/33)

Prediction Form Streaks

Correct Streak
AméricaAmérica
5 in a row
Santos LagunaSantos Laguna
4 in a row
PueblaPuebla
4 in a row

Liga MX Teams in Best Form

Tigres UANLTigres UANL
W
D
W
W
W
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
W
W
W
L
W
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
W
W
D
W
D

Liga MX Standings

Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.

#TEAM
MPPTSWDLGGDFORM
1
GuadalajaraGuadalajara
1431101328:17+11
L
D
W
W
W
2
Pumas UNAMPumas UNAM
153086128:15+13
W
W
D
W
D
3
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
142884225:15+10
D
L
D
D
W
4
PachucaPachuca
142884221:13+8
W
W
D
D
W
5
TolucaToluca
142776120:9+11
D
L
D
D
W
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs
MP=Matches Played
PTS=Points
W=Wins
D=Draws
L=Losses
G=Goals (For:Against)
GD=Goal Difference
FORM=Last 5 Matches

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