Liga MX Predictions & Stats
Free AI predictions for every upcoming Liga MX match — 1X2, Both Teams to Score, Over/Under goals and Correct Score probabilities, with accuracy tracked against bookmaker odds over the last 100 matches.
Liga MX Predictions by Market
Season 2026/2027 · Round 2 · Apertura
Full-Time Result
45%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
47.7% Implied Probability
-5.7% Near implied probability
Both Teams To Score
59%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
54.7% Implied Probability
+7.9% Above implied probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
61%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
54.6% Implied Probability
+11.7% Strongly above implied probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals
69%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
59.7% Implied Probability
+15.6% Strongly above implied probability
First Half Result
44%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
39.1% Implied Probability
+12.5% Strongly above implied probability
Correct Score
15%
SUCCESS RATE AVG.
Our AI model analyzes Liga MX matches across 6 betting markets — Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, Over/Under 3.5 Goals, First Half Result, Correct Score. Each card above compares our prediction accuracy against the implied probability derived from bookmaker odds (shown as the dashed line). Green bars mean the model outperforms bookmaker expectations; red means the bookmakers currently hold a sharper edge. Across all markets, our model outperforms bookmaker baselines in 4 out of 5 markets this season. Correct Score predictions for Liga MX currently hit at 15%.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals is our strongest Liga MX betting market this season with 69% prediction accuracy — that's 15.6% above the bookmaker-implied probability of 59.7%. This means our AI model correctly predicts Over/Under 3.5 Goals outcomes at a significantly higher rate than what bookmaker odds suggest, making it a prime market for finding value bets in Liga MX.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions currently sit 5.7% below bookmaker-implied accuracy at 45%. Bookmaker pricing is particularly sharp for Liga MX Full-Time Result bets, so punters should exercise extra caution and consider combining these picks in accumulators rather than placing them as singles.
The remaining markets — Both Teams To Score, Over/Under 2.5 Goals, First Half Result — perform near or above bookmaker expectations, offering moderate edges for data-driven Liga MX football tips.
Today's Betting Tips for Liga MX Mexico
Cruz Azul–
Puebla–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Cruz Azul–Puebla–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
No 57%
Correct Score
1-0 15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Full Time
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16% | 84% | 44% | 56% |
 | 57% | 43% | 85% | 15% |
Goals Over/Under
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 51% | 49% | 63% | 37% |
Correct Score
1-0
15.0%
2-0
13.0%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
8.1%
Toluca–
Pumas UNAM–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Toluca–Pumas UNAM–Winner
1 52%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Tijuana–
León–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Tijuana–León–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Atlante–
América–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlante–América–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Guadalajara–
Juárez–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Guadalajara–Juárez–Winner
1 53%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Tigres UANL–
Atlético San Luis–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Tigres UANL–Atlético San Luis–Winner
1 65%
BTTS**
No 51%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 57%
Santos Laguna–
Atlas–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Santos Laguna–Atlas–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Necaxa–
Monterrey–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Necaxa–Monterrey–Winner
12 74%
BTTS**
Yes 55%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Pachuca–
Querétaro–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Pachuca–Querétaro–Winner
1X 76%
BTTS**
No 52%
Correct Score
1-0 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 54%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Puebla–Guadalajara–Winner
2 50%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Puebla–Guadalajara–Winner
2 50%
BTTS**
Yes 52%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
Juárez–Pumas UNAM–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Juárez–Pumas UNAM–Winner
12 73%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 64%
Atlético San Luis–Tijuana–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Atlético San Luis–Tijuana–Winner
1X 66%
BTTS**
Yes 58%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Querétaro–Tigres UANL–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Querétaro–Tigres UANL–Winner
X2 71%
BTTS**
Yes 51%
Correct Score
1-1 13%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 55%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 65%
Atlas–Monterrey–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
Atlas–Monterrey–Winner
X2 70%
BTTS**
Yes 53%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 60%
León–Pachuca–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
León–Pachuca–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 59%
Correct Score
1-1 11%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 56%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 56%
Cruz Azul–Atlante–Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
Cruz Azul–Atlante–Winner
1 57%
BTTS**
No 53%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
under 52%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 63%
América–Santos Laguna–Winner
1 66%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
América–Santos Laguna–Winner
1 66%
BTTS**
No 56%
Correct Score
1-0 14%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 51%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 61%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Liga MX Prediction Accuracy by Team
The stats below break down our AI prediction accuracy for every Liga MX betting market at the team level. For each market, we rank the teams where our model performs best — for example, Guadalajara leads Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions with 100% accuracy (1 correct out of 1 picks). The prediction form streaks show which teams our model has been getting right recently — a run of consecutive correct predictions (shown as green dots) suggests the model has a strong read on that team's current patterns. Teams on a hot streak in a high-edge market like Over/Under 3.5 Goals are especially worth watching for your next Liga MX bet.
The form table at the bottom highlights Liga MX teams in the best current match-day form based on recent results — useful for identifying in-form sides that may offer additional betting value.
Liga MX Full-Time Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
Querétaro
Tigres UANLCruz AzulPrediction Form Streaks
QuerétaroTigres UANLCruz AzulLiga MX Both Teams To Score Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
QuerétaroTigres UANL
AtlasPrediction Form Streaks
QuerétaroTigres UANLAtlasLiga MX Over/Under 2.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
QuerétaroAtlasCruz AzulPrediction Form Streaks
QuerétaroAtlasCruz AzulLiga MX Over/Under 3.5 Goals Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
GuadalajaraQuerétaro
TolucaPrediction Form Streaks
GuadalajaraQuerétaroTolucaLiga MX First Half Result Predictions Accuracy
Top Predicted Teams
QuerétaroAtlasCruz AzulPrediction Form Streaks
QuerétaroAtlasCruz AzulLiga MX Teams in Best Form
Pachuca
TijuanaTolucaLiga MX Standings
Check the current league table, team positions, points, and form. Click to view complete standings with detailed statistics.
#TEAM | MP | PTS | W | D | L | G | GD | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1  Pachuca | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | +3 | W |
2  Tijuana | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | +2 | W |
3  Toluca | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | W |
4  Atlas | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | W |
5  Cruz Azul | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | +1 | W |
About Liga MX
Liga MX is the top professional football league in Mexico. It consists of 18 teams and operates on a system of promotion and relegation. Liga MX is known for its passionate fan base and intense matches. Club América and Chivas de Guadalajara are the most successful clubs in Liga MX history.