Leeds United vs Newcastle United Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
Premier League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 4)
Leeds United vs Newcastle United — Premier League Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026/2027 · Round 4 · Regular Season
Full-Time Result
42.2% implied
Newcastle United0%0/2-100%Below implied probability
Leeds United0%0/2-100%Below implied probabilityBoth Teams To Score
54.4% implied
Newcastle United50%1/2-8.1%Near implied probabilityLeeds United50%1/2-8.1%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 2.5 Goals
53.8% implied
Newcastle United50%1/2-7.1%Near implied probabilityLeeds United50%1/2-7.1%Near implied probabilityOver/Under 3.5 Goals
60.4% implied
Newcastle United50%1/2-17.2%Below implied probabilityLeeds United100%2/2+65.6%Strongly above implied probabilityFirst Half Result
37.7% implied
Newcastle United50%1/2+32.6%Strongly above implied probabilityLeeds United50%1/2+32.6%Strongly above implied probabilityNewcastle United0/2Leeds United1/2Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Leeds United and Newcastle United across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Leeds United hit at 100% accuracy — that's 65.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 60.4%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Full-Time Result predictions for Newcastle United sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Leeds United vs Newcastle United — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Leeds United vs Newcastle United. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
Leeds United–
Newcastle United–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Leeds United–Newcastle United–Winner
1X 67%
BTTS**
Yes 56%
Correct Score
1-1 12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
over 53%
Over/Under 3.5 goals
under 59%
Full Time
Goals Over/Under
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 23% | 77% | 47% | 53% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 59% | 41% | 83% | 17% |
Team Goals Over/Under
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26% | 74% | 58% | 42% |
| 32% | 68% | 65% | 35% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82% | 18% | 94% | 6% |
| 86% | 14% | 96% | 4% |
1st Half
1st Score
Half Time/Full Time
1-1
23%
2-2
18%
X-X
16%
X-1
15%
X-2
12%
2-X
6%
1-X
5%
1-2
3%
2-1
3%
Correct Score
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.3%
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Leeds United vs Newcastle United — Prediction Form & Streaks
Newcastle United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 6th in the table. Leeds United have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 2 matches and currently sit 8th in the table.
Newcastle UnitedLeeds UnitedNewcastle UnitedLeeds UnitedNewcastle UnitedLeeds UnitedNewcastle UnitedLeeds UnitedNewcastle UnitedLeeds UnitedNewcastle UnitedLeeds UnitedLeeds United & Newcastle United Teams in Best Form
Newcastle UnitedLeeds United