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Chapecoense vs Botafogo 1-4 Score & Prediction Review

Serie A - Season 2026 (Round 12)

The match between Chapecoense and Botafogo ended 1-4. Our AI model predicted a Chapecoense win at 39% confidence — the final result went a different way, but individual market predictions still offer useful insight. None of the key markets landed for this fixture — these matches help refine the model and improve future accuracy.

Chapecoense vs Botafogo — Serie A Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026 · Round 12 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

ChapecoenseChapecoense
42.9%(6/14)

+0.2% Above implied probability

BotafogoBotafogo
50%(7/14)

+16.8% Strongly above implied probability

42.8% Implied Probability

Both Teams To Score

ChapecoenseChapecoense
71.4%(10/14)

+31.7% Strongly above implied probability

BotafogoBotafogo
42.9%(6/14)

-20.8% Below implied probability

54.2% Implied Probability

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

ChapecoenseChapecoense
57.1%(8/14)

+6.1% Above implied probability

BotafogoBotafogo
21.4%(3/14)

-60.2% Below implied probability

53.8% Implied Probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

ChapecoenseChapecoense
71.4%(10/14)

+16.9% Strongly above implied probability

BotafogoBotafogo
50%(7/14)

-18.2% Below implied probability

61.1% Implied Probability

First Half Result

ChapecoenseChapecoense
64.3%(9/14)

+69.7% Strongly above implied probability

BotafogoBotafogo
50%(7/14)

+31.9% Strongly above implied probability

37.9% Implied Probability

Correct Score

ChapecoenseChapecoense
14.3%(2/14)
BotafogoBotafogo
14.3%(2/14)

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Chapecoense and Botafogo across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Chapecoense hit at 64% accuracy — that's 69.7% above the bookmaker baseline of 37.9%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Botafogo sit 60.2% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Chapecoense vs Botafogo 1-4 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Chapecoense vs Botafogo. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

Full Time
139%
X29%
232%
Goals Over/Under
<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT32%68%58%42%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
69%31%89%11%
1st Half
134%
X44%
223%
Half Time/Full Time
1-11-XX-1
26%6%16%
2-22-XX-2
13%6%10%
1-2X-X2-1
2%18%3%
1st Score
152%
X10%
239%
Team Goals Over/Under
<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182300/mygameodds/teams/qwrtfsjierh8bnujwnfc.png logo31%69%66%34%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182304/mygameodds/teams/ofqjfra9hbasudzsxmoj.png logo35%65%71%29%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182300/mygameodds/teams/qwrtfsjierh8bnujwnfc.png logo87%13%96%4%
https://res.cloudinary.com/mybetodds/image/upload/v1714182304/mygameodds/teams/ofqjfra9hbasudzsxmoj.png logo90%10%98%2%
Correct Score
1-11-00-10-02-11-22-0
13.4%11.6%10.6%9.8%8.4%7.4%6.8%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Chapecoense vs Botafogo — Prediction Form & Streaks

Botafogo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 12th in the table. Chapecoense have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 matches and currently sit 20th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Chapecoense well in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time Result

Correct Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
0 in a row

Both Teams To Score

Correct Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
1 in a row

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Correct Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
1 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
2 in a row

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

Correct Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
3 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
2 in a row

First Half Result

Correct Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
0 in a row

Correct Score

Correct Streak
ChapecoenseChapecoense
0 in a row
BotafogoBotafogo
1 in a row

Chapecoense & Botafogo Teams in Best Form

BotafogoBotafogo
D
L
D
W
D
ChapecoenseChapecoense
D
L
L
L
L

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