Basel vs Thun 4-2 Score & Prediction Review

Super League - Season 2026/2027 (Round 3)

The match between Basel and Thun ended 4-2. Our AI model correctly predicted a Basel win with 46% confidence before kick-off. Overall a solid read on this match, with 3 out of 4 key markets predicted correctly, including Full-Time Result, Both Teams To Score & Over/Under 2.5 Goals.
This match is finished — the model has already priced the next one: Young Boys – Basel prediction & betting tips (Aug 29, 2026).

Basel vs Thun — Super League Prediction Accuracy

Season 2026/2027 · Round 3 · Regular Season

Full-Time Result

42.9% implied

Basel50%2/4+16.6%Strongly above implied probability
Thun66.7%2/3+55.5%Strongly above implied probability

Both Teams To Score

54.4% implied

Basel50%2/4-8.1%Near implied probability
Thun66.7%2/3+22.6%Strongly above implied probability
Basel50%2/4-7.4%Near implied probability
Thun100%3/3+85.2%Strongly above implied probability

Over/Under 3.5 Goals

60.8% implied

Basel75%3/4+23.4%Strongly above implied probability
Thun0%0/3-100%Below implied probability

First Half Result

38.1% implied

Basel75%3/4+96.9%Strongly above implied probability
Thun66.7%2/3+75.1%Strongly above implied probability
Basel25%1/4
Thun0%0/3

Our AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Basel and Thun across 6 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.

First Half Result predictions for Basel hit at 75% accuracy — that's 96.9% above the bookmaker baseline of 38.1%, suggesting genuine betting value.

On the other hand, Over/Under 3.5 Goals predictions for Thun sit 100% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.

Basel vs Thun 4-2 — How Our Predictions Performed

The prediction cards below show the pre-match probabilities our AI model generated for Basel vs Thun. Correct predictions are highlighted in green, so you can quickly see where the model read this match well.

· FT
BaselBasel4
ThunThun2

Winner

1X 69%

BTTS**

Yes 62%

Correct Score

1-1 10%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

over 62%

Over/Under 3.5 goals

under 50%

Full Time

146%
X23%
231%

Goals Over/Under

<1.5>1.5<2.5>2.5
FT17%83%38%62%
<3.5>3.5<4.5>4.5
FT50%50%76%24%

Team Goals Over/Under

<0.5>0.5<1.5>1.5
Basel21%79%50%50%
Thun32%68%62%38%
<2.5>2.5<3.5>3.5
Basel75%25%90%10%
Thun84%16%94%6%

1st Half

137%
X36%
227%

1st Score

155%
X4%
241%

Half Time/Full Time

1-1

28%

2-2

18%

X-1

15%

X-X

13%

X-2

10%

2-X

6%

1-X

5%

1-2

3%

2-1

3%

Correct Score

1-1

10.2%

2-1

9.3%

1-2

7.4%

1-0

7.4%

2-2

6.5%

2-0

6.3%

0-1

5.6%

3-1

5.5%

0-0

4.3%

3-2

4.1%

0-2

4.0%

3-0

3.9%

1-3

3.3%

*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)

*BTTS - Both teams to score

Basel vs Thun — Prediction Form & Streaks

Basel have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 4 matches and currently sit 3th in the table. Thun have won 1, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 3 matches and currently sit 10th in the table.

Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Thun well in the Over/Under 2.5 Goals market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.

Full-Time ResultCorrect Streak
BaselBasel
2 in a row
ThunThun
2 in a row
Both Teams To ScoreCorrect Streak
BaselBasel
2 in a row
ThunThun
1 in a row
Over/Under 2.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
BaselBasel
2 in a row
ThunThun
3 in a row
Over/Under 3.5 GoalsCorrect Streak
BaselBasel
1 in a row
ThunThun
0 in a row
First Half ResultCorrect Streak
BaselBasel
0 in a row
ThunThun
1 in a row
Correct ScoreCorrect Streak
BaselBasel
1 in a row
ThunThun
0 in a row

Basel & Thun Teams in Best Form

BaselBasel
W
W
L
W
ThunThun
L
L
W
correct predictionincorrect
W
D
L
Last 5 Matches

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