Portugal vs Spain Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips
World Cup - Season 2026 Round of 16 (Knock Out)
Portugal vs Spain — World Cup Prediction Accuracy
Season 2026 · Round of 16
Full-Time Result →
Portugal+3.7% Above implied probability
Spain+55.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 48.2% Implied Probability
Both Teams To Score →
Portugal-8.6% Near implied probability
Spain+37.1% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.7% Implied Probability
Over/Under 2.5 Goals →
Portugal-8.9% Near implied probability
Spain+36.6% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 54.9% Implied Probability
Over/Under 3.5 Goals →
Portugal+21.8% Strongly above implied probability
Spain+21.8% Strongly above implied probability
┊ 61.6% Implied Probability
Correct Score →
PortugalSpainOur AI model tracks prediction accuracy for Portugal and Spain across 5 betting markets. The cards above compare per-team accuracy against a bookmaker-implied probability baseline for each betting market.
Full-Time Result predictions for Spain hit at 75% accuracy — that's 55.6% above the bookmaker baseline of 48.2%, suggesting genuine betting value.
On the other hand, Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions for Portugal sit 8.9% below the bookmaker baseline — pricing is sharper here, so extra caution is warranted.
Portugal vs Spain — AI Betting Odds & Market Probabilities
Below are our AI-generated match predictions for Portugal vs Spain. Each market shows the probability of each outcome based on our model's analysis of team form, historical data and current season performance.
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 52% | 49% | 77% | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30% | 70% | 61% | 39% |
 | 23% | 77% | 52% | 48% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 1-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 3-2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| 1 | 33% | |
| X | 23% | |
| 2 | 44% |
| <1.5 | >1.5 | <2.5 | >2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FT | 18% | 82% | 39% | 61% |
| <3.5 | >3.5 | <4.5 | >4.5 | |
| 52% | 49% | 77% | 23% |
| <0.5 | >0.5 | <1.5 | >1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30% | 70% | 61% | 39% |
| 23% | 77% | 52% | 48% |
| <2.5 | >2.5 | <3.5 | >3.5 | |
| 83% | 17% | 94% | 6% |
| 77% | 23% | 91% | 9% |
| 1-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% |
*Probability of each predicted outcome is expressed in percentage (%)
*BTTS - Both teams to score
Portugal vs Spain — Prediction Form & Streaks
Our football prediction algorithm has been reading Spain well in the Full-Time Result market, landing 3 correct predictions in a row. This level of consistency suggests a strong betting opportunity worth considering.
Full-Time Result
PortugalSpainBoth Teams To Score
PortugalSpainOver/Under 2.5 Goals
PortugalSpainOver/Under 3.5 Goals
PortugalSpainCorrect Score
PortugalSpain